Leadership Predictions & Odds· 153 markets

I
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

$31k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

23%

Leadership Change

I
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

$6.0m Vol.
$328k Liq.
🔥$177k today
891
Ends in 9 months

33%

December 31

L
Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?

Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?

$59k Vol.
$8k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months

37%

Yes

W
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

$18.2m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$1.5m today
1
Ends in 27 days

3%

Yes

W
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

$25.1m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$753k today
12
Ends in 3 months

12%

Yes

W
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

$12.9m Vol.
$462k Liq.
🔥$276k today
20
Ends in 9 months

24%

Yes

W
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

$24k Vol.
$238k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

7%

Yes

W
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

$894k Vol.
$116k Liq.
30
Ends in 9 months

11%

Yes

W
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

$466k Vol.
$57k Liq.
51
Ends in 3 months

89%

Yes

K
Kurds declare independence from Iran?

Kurds declare independence from Iran?

$112k Vol.
$19k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months

10%

Yes

I
Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

$344k Vol.
$49k Liq.
18
Ends in 3 months

14%

Yes

N
Next President of Vietnam

Next President of Vietnam

$29.3m Vol.
$462k Liq.
🔥$935k today
243
Ended

94%

Tô Lâm

C
Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

$130k Vol.
$36k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months

33%

Yes

K
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?

KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?

$35k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

1%

Yes

W
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

$1.6m Vol.
$10k Liq.
155
Ends in 3 months

19%

Yes

W
Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

$925k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ended

24%

Yes

W
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

$17.3m Vol.
$59k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months

62%

Caesars Entertainment

A
Anthropic acquired before 2027?

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

$9k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

10%

Yes

C
China coup attempt before 2027?

China coup attempt before 2027?

$111k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

6%

Yes

W
Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?

Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?

$0 Vol.
$211 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

56%

Yes