Leadership Predictions & Odds· 251 markets
I
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$31k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$31k Vol.$12k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
22%
Leadership Change
I
Iran leadership change by...?
$6.0m Vol.
$330k Liq.
🔥$205k today
891
Ends in 9 months
$6.0m Vol.🔥$205k today$330k Liq.891Ends in 9 months
33%
December 31
L
Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?
$59k Vol.
$8k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$59k Vol.$8k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
37%
Yes
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
$18.2m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$1.5m today
1
Ends in 27 days
$18.2m Vol.🔥$1.5m today$1.4m Liq.1Ends in 27 days
3%
Yes
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$25.0m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$803k today
12
Ends in 3 months
$25.0m Vol.🔥$803k today$1.6m Liq.12Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
W
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$12.9m Vol.
$401k Liq.
🔥$267k today
20
Ends in 9 months
$12.9m Vol.🔥$267k today$401k Liq.20Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
$24k Vol.
$292k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$24k Vol.$292k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
7%
Yes
W
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
$893k Vol.
$114k Liq.
30
Ends in 9 months
$893k Vol.$114k Liq.30Ends in 9 months
11%
Yes
W
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
$466k Vol.
$50k Liq.
50
Ends in 3 months
$466k Vol.$50k Liq.50Ends in 3 months
89%
Yes
K
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
$111k Vol.
$37k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$111k Vol.$37k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
I
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
$344k Vol.
$49k Liq.
18
Ends in 3 months
$344k Vol.$49k Liq.18Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
N
Next President of Vietnam
$29.2m Vol.
$489k Liq.
🔥$922k today
243
Ended
$29.2m Vol.🔥$922k today$489k Liq.243Ended
95%
Tô Lâm
C
33%
Yes
K
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?
$35k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$35k Vol.$26k Liq.Ends in 27 days
2%
Yes
W
24%
Yes
W
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
$1.6m Vol.
$10k Liq.
155
Ends in 3 months
$1.6m Vol.$10k Liq.155Ends in 3 months
20%
Yes
W
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
$17.3m Vol.
$59k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$17.3m Vol.$59k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
60%
Caesars Entertainment
A
10%
Yes
C
China coup attempt before 2027?
$111k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$111k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes
W
Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?
$0 Vol.
$223 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$223 Liq.1Ends in 9 months
56%
Yes