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Leadership Predictions & Odds· 153 markets

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I
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Geopolitics·Iran Ceasefire

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

$30k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

22%

Leadership Change

I
Iran leadership change by...?

Politics·Mojtaba

Iran leadership change by...?

$6.0m Vol.
$284k Liq.
🔥$225k today
892
Ends in 9 months

33%

December 31

L
Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?

Politics·uk

Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?

$59k Vol.
$5k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months

37%

Yes

W
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Politics·Reza Pahlavi

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

$18.1m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$2.1m today
1
Ends in 28 days

3%

Yes

W
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Geopolitics·Iran

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

$25.0m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$827k today
11
Ends in 3 months

12%

Yes

W
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

World·Israel

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

$12.9m Vol.
$329k Liq.
🔥$322k today
19
Ends in 9 months

25%

Yes

W
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Geopolitics·Iran Regime

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

$22k Vol.
$223k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

7%

Yes

W
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Geopolitics·Iran

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

$892k Vol.
$100k Liq.
30
Ends in 9 months

11%

Yes

W
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Geopolitics·Khamenei

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

$466k Vol.
$34k Liq.
50
Ends in 3 months

89%

Yes

K
Kurds declare independence from Iran?

Geopolitics·Middle East

Kurds declare independence from Iran?

$111k Vol.
$21k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months

11%

Yes

I
Iran coup attempt by June 30?

World·Iran

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

$344k Vol.
$31k Liq.
18
Ends in 3 months

14%

Yes

N
Next President of Vietnam

Elections·Global Elections

Next President of Vietnam

$29.0m Vol.
$486k Liq.
🔥$999k today
244
Ended

95%

Tô Lâm

C
Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Geopolitics·Cuba

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

$130k Vol.
$27k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months

33%

Yes

K
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?

Geopolitics·Regional Spillover

KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?

$35k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

2%

Yes

W
Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

Politics·Foreign Policy

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

$925k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ended

24%

Yes

W
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

Geopolitics·Gaza

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

$1.6m Vol.
$10k Liq.
155
Ends in 3 months

20%

Yes

W
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Tech·Prediction Markets

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

$17.3m Vol.
$62k Liq.
30
Ends in 9 months

59%

Caesars Entertainment

A
Anthropic acquired before 2027?

Finance·AI

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

$9k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

10%

Yes

C
China coup attempt before 2027?

Politics·China

China coup attempt before 2027?

$111k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

6%

Yes

W
Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?

Crypto·Acquisitions

Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?

$0 Vol.
$234 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

56%

Yes