Macro Predictions & Odds· 180 markets
N
Next Prime Minister of Hungary
$44.0m Vol.
$2.9m Liq.
🔥$2.0m today
114
Ends in 10 days
$44.0m Vol.🔥$2.0m today$2.9m Liq.114Ends in 10 days
66%
Péter Magyar
B
Brazil Presidential Election
$36.9m Vol.
$2.2m Liq.
🔥$1.3m today
3,808
Ends in 6 months
$36.9m Vol.🔥$1.3m today$2.2m Liq.3,808Ends in 6 months
45%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$2.1m Vol.
$221k Liq.
🔥$190k today
Ends in 28 days
$2.1m Vol.🔥$190k today$221k Liq.Ends in 28 days
13%
Yes
M
March Unemployment Rate
$157k Vol.
$22k Liq.
🔥$114k today
Ends in about 12 hours
$157k Vol.🔥$114k today$22k Liq.Ends in about 12 hours
44%
4.4%
M
March Inflation US - Annual
$3.1m Vol.
$126k Liq.
🔥$77k today
Ends in 8 days
$3.1m Vol.🔥$77k today$126k Liq.Ends in 8 days
98%
≥2.8%
X
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
$7.7m Vol.
$310k Liq.
🔥$51k today
705
Ends in 9 months
$7.7m Vol.🔥$51k today$310k Liq.705Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
U
US recession by end of 2026?
$1.0m Vol.
$68k Liq.
63
Ends in 10 months
$1.0m Vol.$68k Liq.63Ends in 10 months
33%
Yes
M
March Inflation US - Annual (Higher Brackets)
$889k Vol.
$82k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$889k Vol.$82k Liq.Ends in 8 days
40%
≥3.4%
F
14%
Yes
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
$29k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$29k Vol.$38k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
37%
Yes
C
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q1 2026?
$233k Vol.
$60k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
$233k Vol.$60k Liq.Ends in 15 days
53%
4.5-5.0%
H
How high will inflation get in 2026?
$374k Vol.
$170k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$374k Vol.$170k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
98%
Above 3%
M
92%
≥0.8%
C
71%
4.0–5.0%
H
How many jobs added in March?
$20k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours
$20k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 12 hours
37%
50k – 100k
H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
$344k Vol.
$29k Liq.
21
Ends in 9 months
$344k Vol.$29k Liq.21Ends in 9 months
60%
5.0%
U
21%
2.0–2.5%
A
Argentina Monthly Inflation - March
$16k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
$16k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 12 days
71%
3.1–3.3%
E
Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026
$7k Vol.
$42k Liq.
2
Ends in 10 months
$7k Vol.$42k Liq.2Ends in 10 months
39%
3.1%+