Macro Predictions & Odds· 180 markets

N
Next Prime Minister of Hungary

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

$44.0m Vol.
$2.9m Liq.
🔥$2.0m today
114
Ends in 10 days

66%

Péter Magyar

B
Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

$36.9m Vol.
$2.2m Liq.
🔥$1.3m today
3,808
Ends in 6 months

45%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

$2.1m Vol.
$221k Liq.
🔥$190k today
Ends in 28 days

13%

Yes

M
March Unemployment Rate

March Unemployment Rate

$157k Vol.
$22k Liq.
🔥$114k today
Ends in about 12 hours

44%

4.4%

M
March Inflation US - Annual

March Inflation US - Annual

$3.1m Vol.
$126k Liq.
🔥$77k today
Ends in 8 days

98%

≥2.8%

X
Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

$7.7m Vol.
$310k Liq.
🔥$51k today
705
Ends in 9 months

8%

Yes

U
US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

$1.0m Vol.
$68k Liq.
63
Ends in 10 months

33%

Yes

M
March Inflation US - Annual (Higher Brackets)

March Inflation US - Annual (Higher Brackets)

$889k Vol.
$82k Liq.
Ends in 8 days

40%

≥3.4%

F
Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

$792k Vol.
$52k Liq.
6
Ends in 8 months

14%

Yes

S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

$29k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

37%

Yes

C
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q1 2026?

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q1 2026?

$233k Vol.
$60k Liq.
Ends in 15 days

53%

4.5-5.0%

H
How high will inflation get in 2026?

How high will inflation get in 2026?

$374k Vol.
$170k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months

98%

Above 3%

M
March Inflation US - Monthly

March Inflation US - Monthly

$524k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 8 days

92%

≥0.8%

C
China Annual GDP Growth 2026

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

$210k Vol.
$58k Liq.
2
Ended

71%

4.0–5.0%

H
How many jobs added in March?

How many jobs added in March?

$20k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours

37%

50k – 100k

H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

$344k Vol.
$29k Liq.
21
Ends in 9 months

60%

5.0%

U
US GDP growth in Q1 2026?

US GDP growth in Q1 2026?

$231k Vol.
$29k Liq.
16
Ends in 28 days

21%

2.0–2.5%

E
ECB rate hike in 2026?

ECB rate hike in 2026?

$83k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

75%

Yes

A
Argentina Monthly Inflation - March

Argentina Monthly Inflation - March

$16k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 12 days

71%

3.1–3.3%

E
Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

$7k Vol.
$42k Liq.
2
Ends in 10 months

39%

3.1%+