Macro Predictions & Odds· 180 markets
Brazil Presidential Election
$33.7m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$792k today
3,670
Ends in 6 months
$33.7m Vol.🔥$792k today$1.8m Liq.3,670Ends in 6 months
42%
Flávio Bolsonaro
Next Prime Minister of Hungary
$39.5m Vol.
$2.0m Liq.
🔥$646k today
2
Ends in 12 days
$39.5m Vol.🔥$646k today$2.0m Liq.2Ends in 12 days
65%
Péter Magyar
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.3m Vol.
$262k Liq.
🔥$187k today
17
Ends in 9 months
$1.3m Vol.🔥$187k today$262k Liq.17Ends in 9 months
64%
↓ 3.25%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$1.6m Vol.
$66k Liq.
🔥$87k today
101
Ends in about 1 month
$1.6m Vol.🔥$87k today$66k Liq.101Ends in about 1 month
22%
Yes
21%
Yes
98%
≥2.8%
March Inflation US - Annual (Higher Brackets)
$813k Vol.
$82k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$813k Vol.$82k Liq.Ends in 10 days
42%
≥3.4%
US GDP growth in Q1 2026?
$225k Vol.
$22k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$225k Vol.$22k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
23%
2.5–3.0%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
$7.6m Vol.
$213k Liq.
706
Ends in 9 months
$7.6m Vol.$213k Liq.706Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
89%
≥0.8%
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q1 2026?
$204k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 17 days
$204k Vol.$50k Liq.Ends in 17 days
71%
4.5-5.0%
US recession by end of 2026?
$918k Vol.
$72k Liq.
49
Ends in 10 months
$918k Vol.$72k Liq.49Ends in 10 months
37%
Yes
56%
$2.25–2.50
How high will inflation get in 2026?
$340k Vol.
$185k Liq.
21
Ends in 9 months
$340k Vol.$185k Liq.21Ends in 9 months
98%
Above 3%
72%
4.0–5.0%
29%
4.4%
Argentina Monthly Inflation - March
$14k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 14 days
$14k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 14 days
75%
3.1–3.3%
78%
Up
26%
50k – 100k
29%
25-29.9%