Macro Predictions & Odds· 339 markets
Brazil Presidential Election
$33.8m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$830k today
3,681
Ends in 6 months
$33.8m Vol.🔥$830k today$1.8m Liq.3,681Ends in 6 months
42%
Flávio Bolsonaro
Next Prime Minister of Hungary
$39.6m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$669k today
2
Ends in 12 days
$39.6m Vol.🔥$669k today$1.8m Liq.2Ends in 12 days
65%
Péter Magyar
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.3m Vol.
$222k Liq.
🔥$97k today
17
Ends in 9 months
$1.3m Vol.🔥$97k today$222k Liq.17Ends in 9 months
64%
↓ 3.25%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$1.6m Vol.
$69k Liq.
🔥$92k today
102
Ends in about 1 month
$1.6m Vol.🔥$92k today$69k Liq.102Ends in about 1 month
24%
Yes
Fed rate hike in 2026?
$702k Vol.
$46k Liq.
🔥$52k today
27
Ends in 8 months
$702k Vol.🔥$52k today$46k Liq.27Ends in 8 months
21%
Yes
98%
≥2.8%
March Inflation US - Annual (Higher Brackets)
$822k Vol.
$80k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$822k Vol.$80k Liq.Ends in 10 days
49%
≥3.4%
US GDP growth in Q1 2026?
$226k Vol.
$19k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$226k Vol.$19k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
23%
2.5–3.0%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
$7.6m Vol.
$169k Liq.
706
Ends in 9 months
$7.6m Vol.$169k Liq.706Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
89%
≥0.8%
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q1 2026?
$204k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 17 days
$204k Vol.$40k Liq.Ends in 17 days
71%
4.5-5.0%
US recession by end of 2026?
$921k Vol.
$72k Liq.
51
Ends in 10 months
$921k Vol.$72k Liq.51Ends in 10 months
37%
Yes
How high will inflation get in 2026?
$340k Vol.
$141k Liq.
21
Ends in 9 months
$340k Vol.$141k Liq.21Ends in 9 months
98%
Above 3%
30%
4.4%
35%
100k+
72%
4.0–5.0%
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
$10k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 11 months
$10k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 11 months
82%
Up
Argentina Monthly Inflation - March
$14k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 14 days
$14k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 14 days
75%
3.1–3.3%
56%
$2.25–2.50
24%
<-1.0%