Mercury Prize Predictions & Odds· 104 markets
California Governor Election Winner
$7.7m Vol.
$853k Liq.
🔥$462k today
20
Ends in 7 months
$7.7m Vol.🔥$462k today$853k Liq.20Ends in 7 months
62%
Eric Swalwell
Who will advance from the California Governor primary?
$378k Vol.
$404k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
$378k Vol.$404k Liq.1Ends in 2 months
65%
Eric Swalwell
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
$364k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
$364k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in 4 months
85%
Hong Wang
61%
Yes
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
$11.9m Vol.
$2.0m Liq.
🔥$183k today
146
Ends in 6 months
$11.9m Vol.🔥$183k today$2.0m Liq.146Ends in 6 months
11%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
94%
April 30
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs HOTU (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs
$9k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$9k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
HOTU
Chess · Sports
2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament: Winner
$1.7m Vol.
$206k Liq.
🔥$252k today
43
Ends in 17 days
$1.7m Vol.🔥$252k today$206k Liq.43Ends in 17 days
40%
Fabiano Caruana
American League · baseball
MLB: AL Platinum Glove Winner
$13k Vol.
$38k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$13k Vol.$38k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
37%
Matt Chapman
Esports · Dota 2
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - EPL Championship Playoffs
$6k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$6k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
Yellow Submarine
45%
Yes
Sports · Formula 1
F1: Action of the Year
$7k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in 9 months
28%
Max Verstappen
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Galorys (BO3) - Betboom Circuit X Mayhem São Paulo Group A
$0 Vol.
$917 Liq.
Ends in 2 days
$0 Vol.$917 Liq.Ends in 2 days
64%
Marsborne
Crypto
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?
$7k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
86%
50
Platinum Glove · Sports
MLB: NL Platinum Glove Winner
$10k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$10k Vol.$29k Liq.Ends in 9 months
41%
Pete Crow-Armstrong
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Group B
$0 Vol.
$683 Liq.
Ends in 3 days
$0 Vol.$683 Liq.Ends in 3 days
41%
Lilmix
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Acend (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs
$0 Vol.
$28 Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
$0 Vol.$28 Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
59%
BESTIA
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.0m Vol.
$442k Liq.
256
Ends in 3 months
$14.0m Vol.$442k Liq.256Ends in 3 months
44%
>$600M
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs G2 (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs
$65k Vol.
$24k Liq.
🔥$65k today
Ends in about 6 hours
$65k Vol.🔥$65k today$24k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
31%
BetBoom Team
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
$3k Vol.
$17k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$17k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
69%
Not revealed in 2026