National Bureau Of Economic Research Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

U
US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

$929k Vol.
$74k Liq.
52
Ends in 10 months

37%

Yes

M
March Unemployment Rate

March Unemployment Rate

$40k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 3 days

28%

4.4%

F
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$715k Vol.
$116k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

83%

Pause–Pause–Pause

T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

$0 Vol.
$108 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

82%

Up

C
China Annual Inflation 2026

China Annual Inflation 2026

$30k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

23%

<-1.0%

F
Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$392k Vol.
$85k Liq.
24
Ends in 29 days

97%

Pause–Pause–Pause

U
US Trade Deficit in 2026?

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

$1k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 11 months

34%

800–900B

#
# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?

# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?

$20k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 2 months

56%

10+

T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26?

$6k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ended

5%

Up

B
Bank of Israel Decision in July?

Bank of Israel Decision in July?

$0 Vol.
$146 Liq.
Ends in 3 months

50%

No Change

B
Bank of Russia decision in June?

Bank of Russia decision in June?

$748 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

71%

Decrease

W
White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

$1k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 10 days

45%

160-179

M
Mexico Annual Inflation 2026

Mexico Annual Inflation 2026

$34k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

33%

4.00% to 4.49%

W
White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

$251k Vol.
$10k Liq.
🔥$102k today
Ends in about 6 hours

98%

160-179

A
Argentina Monthly Inflation - March

Argentina Monthly Inflation - March

$15k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 14 days

67%

3.1–3.3%

N
National T20 Cup: Faisalabad Region vs Tbc A

Games · Pakistan T20

National T20 Cup: Faisalabad Region vs Tbc A

$0 Vol.
$3 Liq.
Ended
A
Argentina Annual Inflation 2026

Argentina Annual Inflation 2026

$2k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

29%

25-29.9%

F
Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

$4.8m Vol.
$904k Liq.
🔥$267k today
15
Ends in 3 months

89%

No change

W
White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

$56k Vol.
$8k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 days

38%

160-179

N
National T20 Cup: Karachi Region Whites vs Tbc A

Sports · Cricket

National T20 Cup: Karachi Region Whites vs Tbc A

$0 Vol.
$3 Liq.
Ended