Peace Deals Predictions & Odds· 145 markets
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
$188k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$188k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
$70k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$70k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
$385k Vol.
$44k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$385k Vol.$44k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$228k Vol.
$12k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$228k Vol.$12k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
$9k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$9k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
$1.9m Vol.
$386k Liq.
🔥$484k today
Ends in 28 days
$1.9m Vol.🔥$484k today$386k Liq.Ends in 28 days
2%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
$4.4m Vol.
$454k Liq.
🔥$262k today
Ends in 3 months
$4.4m Vol.🔥$262k today$454k Liq.Ends in 3 months
10%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
$14k Vol.
$201k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$14k Vol.$201k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
5%
Yes
U
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
$78k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$78k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes
U
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
$19k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$19k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?
$3k Vol.
$83k Liq.
Ends in about 1 year
$3k Vol.$83k Liq.Ends in about 1 year
39%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?
$2k Vol.
$120k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
$2k Vol.$120k Liq.Ends in over 1 year
51%
Yes
U
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
$84k Vol.
$15k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$84k Vol.$15k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
U
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$81.1m Vol.
$2.4m Liq.
🔥$7.9m today
1,405
$81.1m Vol.🔥$7.9m today$2.4m Liq.1,405
73%
December 31
I
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?
$430k Vol.
$38k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$430k Vol.$38k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
41%
June 30
I
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
$199k Vol.
$76k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$199k Vol.$76k Liq.Ends in 28 days
6%
Yes
U
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
$96k Vol.
$13k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$96k Vol.$13k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
28%
Yes
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
$69k Vol.
$72k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$69k Vol.$72k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
33%
December 31
U
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
$2.3m Vol.
$34k Liq.
122
Ends in 9 months
$2.3m Vol.$34k Liq.122Ends in 9 months
11%
December 31, 2026