Probable Predictions & Odds· 101 markets
Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$89k Vol.
$31k Liq.
8
Ends in almost 2 years
$89k Vol.$31k Liq.8Ends in almost 2 years
24%
$500M
Jerome Powell arrested by March 31?
$79k Vol.
$37k Liq.
1
Ends in about 11 hours
$79k Vol.$37k Liq.1Ends in about 11 hours
0%
Yes
Either Tate brother arrested by...?
$1k Vol.
$5k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$1k Vol.$5k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
23%
June 30
Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31?
$69k Vol.
$897 Liq.
2
Ends in about 11 hours
$69k Vol.$897 Liq.2Ends in about 11 hours
1%
Yes
55%
Juan Pablo Ledezma
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$22.0m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$440k today
820
Ends in 9 months
$22.0m Vol.🔥$440k today$1.1m Liq.820Ends in 9 months
17%
December 31
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?
$39k Vol.
$11k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$39k Vol.$11k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
56%
Yes
Netanyahu arrested by March 31?
$137k Vol.
$15k Liq.
4
Ends in about 11 hours
$137k Vol.$15k Liq.4Ends in about 11 hours
0%
Yes
What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?
$14k Vol.
$9k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$14k Vol.$9k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
14%
$1M
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?
$229k Vol.
$11k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$229k Vol.$11k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
Eric Adams arrested by March 31?
$16k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in about 11 hours
$16k Vol.$15k Liq.2Ends in about 11 hours
0%
Yes
What will NYSE Composite (NYA) hit in March?
$23k Vol.
$706 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$23k Vol.$706 Liq.Ends in 1 day
48%
↓ 18600
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?
$0 Vol.
$28k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$28k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?
$17k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$17k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes
Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$297k Vol.
$98k Liq.
8
Ends in almost 2 years
$297k Vol.$98k Liq.8Ends in almost 2 years
46%
$200M
White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$6k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$6k Vol.$32k Liq.Ends in 8 days
32%
160-179
Nara Smith confirmed pregnant in 2026?
$77k Vol.
$400 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$77k Vol.$400 Liq.1Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
85%
Nothing
Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 31?
$442 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$442 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
13%
Yes