Public Release Predictions & Odds· 151 markets

W
Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by...?

Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by...?

$236k Vol.
$2k Liq.
156
Ended

2%

Yes

M
Meta "Mango" model released by...?

Meta "Mango" model released by...?

$5k Vol.
$6k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months

40%

June 30

W
Will Prince Andrew record an interview by March 31?

Will Prince Andrew record an interview by March 31?

$3k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ended

1%

Yes

L
Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

$1.2m Vol.
$88k Liq.
18
Ends in over 1 year

39%

Goldman Sachs

W
Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?

Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?

$558k Vol.
$18k Liq.
1
Ended

8%

April 30

W
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?

Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?

$14k Vol.
$3k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months

64%

Yes

W
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

$106k Vol.
$20k Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months

80%

Yes

W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

$5k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

26%

Yes

W
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

$145k Vol.
$2k Liq.
17
Ended

75%

Yes

W
Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?

Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?

$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

6%

Yes

W
Who visited Epstein's Island?

Who visited Epstein's Island?

$1.6m Vol.
$262k Liq.
🔥$176k today
121
Ends in 3 months

24%

Richard Branson

D
DeepSeek V4 released by...?

DeepSeek V4 released by...?

$899k Vol.
$24k Liq.
1
Ends in 15 days

79%

April 30

C
Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…?

$2.9m Vol.
$79k Liq.
163
Ends in 30 days

63%

June 30, 2026

G
Gemini 3.5 released by...?

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

$813k Vol.
$70k Liq.
50
Ends in 3 months

44%

June 30

C
Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

$44k Vol.
$14k Liq.
1
Ends in 30 days

71%

June 30

G
GPT-5.5 released by...?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

$298k Vol.
$16k Liq.
5

94%

June 30

G
GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

$361k Vol.
$32k Liq.
40
Ended

82%

December 31, 2026

C
Claude 4.7 released by...?

Claude 4.7 released by...?

$63k Vol.
$14k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months

49%

June 30

V
VEO 4 released by...?

VEO 4 released by...?

$41k Vol.
$14k Liq.
1
Ended

49%

April 30

G
Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

$289k Vol.
$12k Liq.
29
Ends in 3 months

20%

June 30, 2026