Regulatory Affairs Predictions & Odds· 140 markets
17%
Yes
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
$22k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$22k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
25%
Yes
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
$931k Vol.
$14k Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months
$931k Vol.$14k Liq.7Ends in 9 months
47%
December 31
Which banks will fail by June 30?
$357k Vol.
$92k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
$357k Vol.$92k Liq.7Ends in 3 months
3%
Citigroup
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
$5k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$5k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 3 months
13%
Yes
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
$202k Vol.
$10k Liq.
34
Ends in 9 months
$202k Vol.$10k Liq.34Ends in 9 months
12%
Yes
Trump · Fed Rates
Trump drops Powell investigation by…?
$4k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$4k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 3 months
65%
June 30
45%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$13k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$13k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
42%
April 30
Zelenskyy # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$19k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 21 hours
$19k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in about 21 hours
82%
60-79
Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$3k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 4 days
41%
60-79
What chain will the NYSE choose for tokenized securities?
$3k Vol.
$707 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$707 Liq.1Ends in 9 months
35%
Multichain
Weed rescheduled by...?
$280k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$280k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
41%
December 31
SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?
$20k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$20k Vol.$4k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
70%
Yes
Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$578 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$578 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 8 days
49%
60-79
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$97k Vol.
$30k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$97k Vol.$30k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
47%
US x Iran Ceasefire
White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$155k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 21 hours
$155k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in about 21 hours
73%
160-179
White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$52k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$52k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 4 days
44%
160-179