Resignation Predictions & Odds· 190 markets

N
Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

40%

December 31

$113.3m Vol.
$18.1m Liq.
🔥$370k today
33
Ends in 9 months
I
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

37%

December 31

$6.2m Vol.
$350k Liq.
🔥$94k today
887
Ends in 9 months
X
Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

8%

Yes

$7.7m Vol.
$304k Liq.
705
Ends in 9 months
X
Xi Jinping out by June 30?

Geopolitics · World

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

2%

Yes

$1.7m Vol.
$149k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
D
Dublin-Central By-Election Winner

Dublin-Central By-Election Winner

77%

Daniel Ennis

$772k Vol.
$118k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
I
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

17%

Leadership Change

$34k Vol.
$8k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
W
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

14%

Yes

$37k Vol.
$24k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
H
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?

10%

Yes

$122k Vol.
$21k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

7%

Yes

$409k Vol.
$131k Liq.
22
Ends in 9 months
P
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

Geopolitics · Politics

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

23%

December 31, 2026

$104k Vol.
$42k Liq.
30
Ends in 9 months
W
Will Tim Walz resign by...?

Will Tim Walz resign by...?

8%

Before 2027

$2.5m Vol.
$45k Liq.
43
Ends in 3 months
M
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

41%

December 31, 2026

$97k Vol.
$13k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
U
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?

UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?

72%

Yes

$108k Vol.
$6k Liq.
54
Ends in 3 months
A
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

14%

Yes

$56k Vol.
$23k Liq.
25
Ends in 9 months
U
U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?

3%

Yes

$7k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 26 days
V
Vicky Chun out as Yale AD by June 30, 2026?

yale · NCAA

Vicky Chun out as Yale AD by June 30, 2026?

10%

Yes

$149 Vol.
$820 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Mike Locksley out as Maryland HC in 2026?

football · Sports

Mike Locksley out as Maryland HC in 2026?

48%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$90 Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
W
Will Trump resign before 2027?

Will Trump resign before 2027?

6%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
P
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

11%

Yes

$3.4m Vol.
$340k Liq.
🔥$55k today
Ends in 9 months
T
Trump out as President by April 30?

Trump out as President by April 30?

1%

Yes

$542k Vol.
$236k Liq.
🔥$53k today
Ends in 26 days