Resignation Predictions & Odds· 202 markets
Netanyahu out by...?
$89.4m Vol.
$4.7m Liq.
🔥$5.8m today
33
Ends in 9 months
$89.4m Vol.🔥$5.8m today$4.7m Liq.33Ends in 9 months
42%
December 31
Iran leadership change by...?
$5.3m Vol.
$208k Liq.
🔥$126k today
887
Ends in 9 months
$5.3m Vol.🔥$126k today$208k Liq.887Ends in 9 months
48%
December 31
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
$7.6m Vol.
$170k Liq.
706
Ends in 9 months
$7.6m Vol.$170k Liq.706Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
Geopolitics · World
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
$1.7m Vol.
$67k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$1.7m Vol.$67k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
3%
Yes
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
$34k Vol.
$14k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$34k Vol.$14k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
Dublin-Central By-Election Winner
$688k Vol.
$89k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$688k Vol.$89k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
77%
Daniel Ennis
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
$404k Vol.
$128k Liq.
22
Ends in 9 months
$404k Vol.$128k Liq.22Ends in 9 months
7%
Yes
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$28k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$28k Vol.$12k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
35%
Leadership Change
Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?
$1.6m Vol.
$29k Liq.
23
Ends in about 5 hours
$1.6m Vol.$29k Liq.23Ends in about 5 hours
0%
Yes
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
$55k Vol.
$9k Liq.
23
Ends in 9 months
$55k Vol.$9k Liq.23Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?
$115k Vol.
$12k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$115k Vol.$12k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
13%
Yes
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
$94k Vol.
$13k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$94k Vol.$13k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
34%
December 31, 2026
Geopolitics · Politics
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?
$101k Vol.
$25k Liq.
28
Ends in 9 months
$101k Vol.$25k Liq.28Ends in 9 months
26%
December 31, 2026
Becca Good charged by March 31?
$7k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in about 5 hours
$7k Vol.$3k Liq.3Ends in about 5 hours
2%
Yes
6%
Yes
Will Tim Walz resign by...?
$2.5m Vol.
$33k Liq.
44
Ends in 3 months
$2.5m Vol.$33k Liq.44Ends in 3 months
9%
Before 2027
yale · NCAA
Vicky Chun out as Yale AD by June 30, 2026?
$144 Vol.
$492 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$144 Vol.$492 Liq.Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?
$107k Vol.
$4k Liq.
54
Ends in 3 months
$107k Vol.$4k Liq.54Ends in 3 months
76%
Yes
football · Sports
Mike Locksley out as Maryland HC in 2026?
$0 Vol.
$58 Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$58 Liq.3Ends in 9 months
52%
Yes
U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?
$6k Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$6k Vol.$3k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
11%
Yes