Russia US Relations Predictions & Odds· 102 markets
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
$369k Vol.
$162k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$369k Vol.$162k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
57%
Pakistan
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$100k Vol.
$11k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$11k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
US x Russia military clash by...?
$583k Vol.
$21k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$583k Vol.$21k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
10%
December 31, 2026
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
$582k Vol.
$8k Liq.
38
Ends in 3 months
$582k Vol.$8k Liq.38Ends in 3 months
13%
Yes
Will Trump meet with Putin again by...?
$6.8m Vol.
$35k Liq.
252
Ends in about 5 hours
$6.8m Vol.$35k Liq.252Ends in about 5 hours
0%
Yes
Where will Trump and Putin meet next?
$4.6m Vol.
$199k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months
$4.6m Vol.$199k Liq.21Ends in 3 months
85%
No meeting by June 30
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$15k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$15k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
42%
April 30
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
$7k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
$1.4m Vol.
$121k Liq.
32
Ends in 9 months
$1.4m Vol.$121k Liq.32Ends in 9 months
20%
December 31
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?
$15k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$15k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
$14k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$14k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 9 months
23%
Yes
13%
Isfahan nuclear facility
White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$155k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 21 hours
$155k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 21 hours
73%
160-179
White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$12k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$12k Vol.$28k Liq.Ends in 8 days
38%
160-179
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
$26k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$26k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 9 months
25%
Yes
White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$52k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$52k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 4 days
42%
160-179
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?
$765k Vol.
$24k Liq.
13
Ends in 9 months
$765k Vol.$24k Liq.13Ends in 9 months
23%
December 31
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
$2.3m Vol.
$32k Liq.
123
Ends in 9 months
$2.3m Vol.$32k Liq.123Ends in 9 months
15%
December 31, 2026
Russian strike on a NATO member by...?
$1.7m Vol.
$10k Liq.
25
Ends in about 5 hours
$1.7m Vol.$10k Liq.25Ends in about 5 hours
1%
Yes