Russia US Relations Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
$366k Vol.
$212k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$366k Vol.$212k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
59%
Pakistan

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$100k Vol.
$16k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$16k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes

US x Russia military clash by...?
$583k Vol.
$25k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$583k Vol.$25k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
10%
December 31, 2026

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
$582k Vol.
$13k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
$582k Vol.$13k Liq.37Ends in 3 months
13%
Yes

Will Trump meet with Putin again by...?
$6.8m Vol.
$35k Liq.
251
Ends in about 7 hours
$6.8m Vol.$35k Liq.251Ends in about 7 hours
0%
Yes

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?
$4.6m Vol.
$241k Liq.
🔥$76k today
20
Ends in 3 months
$4.6m Vol.🔥$76k today$241k Liq.20Ends in 3 months
85%
No meeting by June 30

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$17k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$17k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
$7k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes

NATO x Russia military clash by...?
$1.4m Vol.
$143k Liq.
32
Ends in 9 months
$1.4m Vol.$143k Liq.32Ends in 9 months
21%
December 31

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?
$15k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$15k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
$14k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$14k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes

17%
Isfahan nuclear facility

White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$152k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 23 hours
$152k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in about 23 hours
71%
160-179

White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$6k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$6k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in 8 days
30%
120-139

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
$26k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$26k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 9 months
25%
Yes

White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$52k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$52k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 4 days
39%
160-179

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?
$764k Vol.
$28k Liq.
13
Ends in 9 months
$764k Vol.$28k Liq.13Ends in 9 months
23%
December 31

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
$2.3m Vol.
$41k Liq.
123
Ends in 9 months
$2.3m Vol.$41k Liq.123Ends in 9 months
15%
December 31, 2026

Russian strike on a NATO member by...?
$1.7m Vol.
$10k Liq.
25
Ends in about 7 hours
$1.7m Vol.$10k Liq.25Ends in about 7 hours
1%
Yes
