Sec Predictions & Odds· 424 markets

SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?

SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?

$13k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

39%

Yes

What will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?

What will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?

$82k Vol.
$47k Liq.
1

30%

1.75-2.00T

How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?

How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?

$74k Vol.
$54k Liq.
3

26%

70-80B

Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by March 31?

Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by March 31?

$26k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in about 11 hours

0%

Yes

SpaceX files IPO by...?

SpaceX files IPO by...?

$58k Vol.
$6k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 days

36%

April 3

Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?

Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?

$45k Vol.
$2k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months

13%

Yes

Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?

Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?

$19k Vol.
$830 Liq.
2
Ends in about 2 months

36%

Yes

2026 Women's NCAA Tournament Winner

CWBB · NCAA

2026 Women's NCAA Tournament Winner

$183k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 4 days

68%

UConn

NCAA Tournament: National Champion Conference

Basketball · Sports

NCAA Tournament: National Champion Conference

$93k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 7 days

53%

Big Ten

Which company has the second best AI model end of March?

Which company has the second best AI model end of March?

$621k Vol.
$106k Liq.
1
Ends in about 11 hours

99%

Anthropic

FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?

FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?

$4k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 19 days

65%

Yes

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?

$47k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

8%

Yes

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

$389k Vol.
$12k Liq.
16
Ends in about 11 hours

3%

Yes

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?

$282k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours

0%

Yes

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

$333k Vol.
$110k Liq.
52
Ends in 3 months

50%

Anthropic

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

$99k Vol.
$11k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months

12%

Yes

Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election: Second Place

Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election: Second Place

$93k Vol.
$13k Liq.
5
Ended

95%

Centro Democrático (CD)

Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final

Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final

$31k Vol.
$99k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

95%

Denmark

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

$6k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

27%

Yes

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

$129k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

16%

Yes