Secretary Of Treasury Predictions & Odds· 150 markets
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
$51k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$51k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
8%
Yes
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
$390k Vol.
$12k Liq.
17
Ends in about 4 hours
$390k Vol.$12k Liq.17Ends in about 4 hours
4%
Yes
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?
$284k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$284k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
0%
Yes
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
$6k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$6k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 3 months
27%
Yes
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by March 31?
$74k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$74k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
1%
Yes
47%
Amina Mohammed
Next President of Vietnam
$27.5m Vol.
$462k Liq.
🔥$516k today
237
Ended
$27.5m Vol.🔥$516k today$462k Liq.237Ended
93%
Tô Lâm
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
$46k Vol.
$566k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$46k Vol.$566k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
100%
Travel
Who will advance from the California Governor primary?
$379k Vol.
$348k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
$379k Vol.$348k Liq.1Ends in 2 months
65%
Eric Swalwell
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
$7.6m Vol.
$169k Liq.
706
Ends in 9 months
$7.6m Vol.$169k Liq.706Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?
$8k Vol.
$630k Liq.
1
Ends in about 4 hours
$8k Vol.$630k Liq.1Ends in about 4 hours
91%
25 - 30 minutes
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
$902k Vol.
$49k Liq.
47
Ends in 3 months
$902k Vol.$49k Liq.47Ends in 3 months
59%
December 31
Geopolitics · World
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
$1.7m Vol.
$66k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$1.7m Vol.$66k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
3%
Yes
Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?
$556k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$556k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
15%
April 30
Karoline Leavitt out by March 31?
$41k Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in about 4 hours
$41k Vol.$3k Liq.2Ends in about 4 hours
0%
Yes
35%
Yes
Will Hezbollah disarm by...?
$874k Vol.
$75k Liq.
1
Ends in about 4 hours
$874k Vol.$75k Liq.1Ends in about 4 hours
29%
December 31
Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory
$39k Vol.
$69k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$39k Vol.$69k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
35%
Paxton 9%+
Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?
$45k Vol.
$29k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
$45k Vol.$29k Liq.2Ends in 2 months
69%
Dem-Rep