Senate Elections Predictions & Odds· 353 markets
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
$1.3m Vol.
$337k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$1.3m Vol.$337k Liq.Ends in 7 months
52%
Democratic Party
Which party will win the House in 2026?
$4.1m Vol.
$495k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$4.1m Vol.$495k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
85%
Democratic Party
34%
Chuck Schumer
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
$105k Vol.
$10k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$105k Vol.$10k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$57k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$57k Vol.$14k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
2%
Yes
Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?
$26k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in about 6 hours
$26k Vol.$13k Liq.1Ends in about 6 hours
0%
Yes
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
$219k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$219k Vol.$34k Liq.Ends in 3 months
5%
Yes
Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?
$72k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$72k Vol.$29k Liq.Ends in 3 months
94%
Thom Tillis
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
$551k Vol.
$12k Liq.
27
Ends in about 6 hours
$551k Vol.$12k Liq.27Ends in about 6 hours
51%
December 31, 2026
27%
≤47
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
$0 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 7 months
77%
Yes
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$8k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$8k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
82%
Yes
How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?
$100 Vol.
$15k Liq.
$100 Vol.$15k Liq.
50%
2
81%
0
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$4.2m Vol.
$520k Liq.
138
Ends in 7 months
$4.2m Vol.$520k Liq.138Ends in 7 months
50%
Democrats Sweep
35%
JP
72%
Yes
94%
24-26
How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?
$67k Vol.
$85k Liq.
5
Ends in 5 months
$67k Vol.$85k Liq.5Ends in 5 months
57%
7