State Of Union Predictions & Odds· 105 markets
36%
70 - 90 seconds
Politics · Geopolitics
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
$109k Vol.
$43k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
$109k Vol.$43k Liq.12Ends in 9 months
7%
Yes
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
$2.8m Vol.
$76k Liq.
13
Ends in 7 months
$2.8m Vol.$76k Liq.13Ends in 7 months
35%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$16k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
47%
April 30
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$129k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$129k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 3 months
16%
Yes
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
$3k Vol.
$19k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$19k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
69%
Not revealed in 2026
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?
$5k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$5k Vol.$25k Liq.Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes
61%
April 30
Will anyone be kicked out of Trump's National Agriculture Day event?
$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ended
$3k Vol.$2k Liq.1Ended
0%
Yes
NASA Artemis II
$697k Vol.
$26k Liq.
94
Ends in about 16 hours
$697k Vol.$26k Liq.94Ends in about 16 hours
83%
April 30
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
$26k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$26k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$99k Vol.
$14k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$99k Vol.$14k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
13%
Yes
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
$14k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$14k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 9 months
23%
Yes
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?
$14k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$14k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
Insurrection Act invoked by...?
$1.0m Vol.
$62k Liq.
71
Ends in 9 months
$1.0m Vol.$62k Liq.71Ends in 9 months
33%
December 31
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
$7k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$51k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$51k Vol.$32k Liq.Ends in 4 days
41%
160-179
White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$149k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$149k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 1 day
64%
160-179
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m Vol.
$499k Liq.
🔥$66k today
Ends in 9 months
$3.4m Vol.🔥$66k today$499k Liq.Ends in 9 months
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM