Treasury Predictions & Odds· 249 markets

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

$161k Vol.
$22k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months

92%

4.5%

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?

$245k Vol.
$21k Liq.
11
Ends in about 5 hours

4%

4.5%

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

$179k Vol.
$16k Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months

66%

3.9%

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

$0 Vol.
$556 Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months

39%

Yes

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

$328k Vol.
$15k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months

50%

Yes

US currency with Trump signature issued by April 30, 2026?

US currency with Trump signature issued by April 30, 2026?

$1k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

8%

Yes

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

Politics · Economy

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

$9k Vol.
$20k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

93%

$40 trillion

US defaults on debt by 2027?

Politics · Economy

US defaults on debt by 2027?

$15k Vol.
$23k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

5%

Yes

Will SOFR hit __ in March?

Will SOFR hit __ in March?

$6k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours

56%

↑3.72%

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

Economy

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

24%

Yes

Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?

Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?

$0 Vol.
$553 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

44%

Yes

What will DAX (DAX) hit in March?

What will DAX (DAX) hit in March?

$1k Vol.
$725 Liq.
Ends in 1 day

48%

↓ 19200

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$29k Vol.
$15k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month

42%

April 30

What will Dow Jones (DJIA) hit in March?

What will Dow Jones (DJIA) hit in March?

$2k Vol.
$860 Liq.
Ends in 1 day

44%

↓ 39000

What price will Ethereum hit in March?

What price will Ethereum hit in March?

$24.7m Vol.
$2.9m Liq.
🔥$1.2m today
Ends in 1 day

1%

↓ 1,800

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

$178k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

$147k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Down

What will iShares MSCI South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in April 2026?

What will iShares MSCI South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in April 2026?

$0 Vol.
$28 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

50%

↑ $144

Who will leave Trump administration first?

Who will leave Trump administration first?

$605k Vol.
$0 Liq.
11
Ended

Mike Waltz

Who will Trump pick for Treasury Secretary?

Who will Trump pick for Treasury Secretary?

$6.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

Scott Bessent