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Uptspt Secretary Of Labor Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

AllPoliticsBusinessJulie SuU.S. Secretary Of LaborAppointmentsKristi NoemTrumpU.S. PoliticsSean Patrick MaloneySecretary Of LaborLabor DepartmentTim RyanUS GovernmentAndy LevinAICongressEmploymentLayoffsTechUnemploymentSenateRFKGeopoliticsEconomyMentionsBlsTrump PresidencyCabinetFBIPete HegsethRFK Jr.Tulsi GabbardKash PatelBig TechMacro IndicatorsLabor StatisticsJobs ReportCubaNFPNonfarm PayrollMinnesota UnrestDHSIndictLeavittFidelCuba PresidentCommunism
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by March 31?

Politics·Cabinet

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by March 31?

$74k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours

1%

Yes

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Politics·Cabinet

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

$2.5m Vol.
$167k Liq.
🔥$73k today
Ends in 9 months

58%

Lori Chavez-DeRemer

RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

Politics·Trump

RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

$5k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

23%

Yes

Karoline Leavitt out by March 31?

Politics·Trump

Karoline Leavitt out by March 31?

$41k Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in about 4 hours

0%

Yes

US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?

Geopolitics·Trump

US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?

$36k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

37%

Yes

March Unemployment Rate

Economy·NFP

March Unemployment Rate

$39k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 3 days

33%

4.4%

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

Economy·NFP

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

$336k Vol.
$21k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months

62%

5.0%

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Politics·kristi noem

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

$17k Vol.
$11k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months

5%

Yes

How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?

Politics·Trump

How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?

$2 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

43%

<15 minutes

How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?

Politics·Trump

How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?

$8k Vol.
$630k Liq.
1
Ends in about 4 hours

95%

25 - 30 minutes

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?

Politics·Trump

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?

$284k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours

0%

Yes

What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?

Politics·leavitt

What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?

$46k Vol.
$657k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours

100%

Travel

What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?

Politics·Trump

What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?

$24 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

73%

Go ahead 5+ times

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

Tech·Macro Indicators

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

$0 Vol.
$129 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

82%

Up

Who will be the next U.S. Secretary of Labor?

Politics·labor department

Who will be the next U.S. Secretary of Labor?

$8k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Tim Ryan

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Politics·Kash Patel

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

$23.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,045
Ended

Pam Bondi

Will all remaining Trump cabinet picks be confirmed?

Politics·Trump Presidency

Will all remaining Trump cabinet picks be confirmed?

$79k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended

No

Which Senators will vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer?

Politics·us government

Which Senators will vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer?

$106k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

John Curtis

Who will Trump pick for Labor Secretary?

Politics·Trump Presidency

Who will Trump pick for Labor Secretary?

$99k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Lori Chavez-DeRemer

Will EJ Antoni be confirmed as BLS Commissioner in 2025?

Politics·Trump

Will EJ Antoni be confirmed as BLS Commissioner in 2025?

$68k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

No