538 Approval Rating Predictions & Odds· 104 markets
T
Trump approval rating on April 3?
$91k Vol.
$21k Liq.
🔥$61k today
Ends in 4 days
$91k Vol.🔥$61k today$21k Liq.Ends in 4 days
42%
40.0–40.4
H
How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
$41k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$41k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 9 months
36%
35%
H
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
$3k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
↑ 44%
T
30%
Up
S
Starmer approval Up or Down in April?
$446 Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 30 days
$446 Vol.$2k Liq.2Ends in 30 days
44%
Up
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$57k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$57k Vol.$13k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
2%
Yes
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$4.2m Vol.
$419k Liq.
141
Ends in 7 months
$4.2m Vol.$419k Liq.141Ends in 7 months
50%
Democrats Sweep
C
9%
Yes
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$2k Vol.$10k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
92%
Yes
C
63%
April 17
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$6k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$6k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
82%
Yes
R
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?
$15k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ended
$15k Vol.$6k Liq.Ended
4%
Yes
2
2026 U.S. House election: Republicans flip the Democrats by...?
$55k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ended
$55k Vol.$17k Liq.Ended
0%
Yes
D
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$946.8m Vol.
$39.0m Liq.
🔥$10.4m today
629
Ends in over 2 years
$946.8m Vol.🔥$10.4m today$39.0m Liq.629Ends in over 2 years
24%
Gavin Newsom
A
Economy · Politics
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
$8k Vol.
$8k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$8k Vol.$8k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
36%
Yes
R
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?
$24k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ended
$24k Vol.$6k Liq.Ended
18%
Yes
W
Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?
$82k Vol.
$42k Liq.
1
Ended
$82k Vol.$42k Liq.1Ended
5%
Jacky Rosen
W
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
$557k Vol.
$23k Liq.
28
Ended
$557k Vol.$23k Liq.28Ended
51%
December 31, 2026
2
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
$28k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$28k Vol.$47k Liq.Ends in 7 months
46%
Other