Approval Rating Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

44%
39.5–39.9

How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
$3k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$25k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
↑ 44%

How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
$41k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$41k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in 9 months
36%
35%

23%
Up

8%
Yes

60%
April 17

"How to Make a Killing" Rotten Tomatoes score?
$412k Vol.
$3.4m Liq.
10
Ended
$412k Vol.$3.4m Liq.10Ended
0%
56+

Economy · Politics
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
$8k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$8k Vol.$12k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
36%
Yes

How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?
$211 Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$211 Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 9 months
35%
60+

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
$27k Vol.
$1k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$27k Vol.$1k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
29%
Yes

What will Trump say this week? (April 5)
$4k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$4k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 5 days
85%
Epic Fury

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?
$15k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ended
$15k Vol.$5k Liq.Ended
4%
Yes

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?
$24k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ended
$24k Vol.$6k Liq.Ended
17%
Yes

White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$172k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$172k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
79%
160-179

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
$544k Vol.
$5k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$544k Vol.$5k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$7k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
82%
Yes

White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$53k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$53k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 4 days
41%
160-179

46%
Yes

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$2k Vol.$10k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
92%
Yes