Approvals Predictions & Odds· 109 markets
43%
39.5–39.9
23%
Up
Starmer approval Up or Down in April?
$446 Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 30 days
$446 Vol.$2k Liq.2Ends in 30 days
32%
Up
Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by March 31?
$26k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ended
$26k Vol.$9k Liq.Ended
0%
Yes
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
$22k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$22k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
27%
Yes
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
$544k Vol.
$4k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$544k Vol.$4k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?
$12k Vol.
$2k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$12k Vol.$2k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
35%
Yes
46%
Yes
4%
Yes
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
$582k Vol.
$8k Liq.
38
Ends in 3 months
$582k Vol.$8k Liq.38Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$30k Vol.
$15k Liq.
4
Ends in 30 days
$30k Vol.$15k Liq.4Ends in 30 days
39%
April 30
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
$932k Vol.
$8k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$932k Vol.$8k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
52%
December 31
Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?
$82k Vol.
$48k Liq.
1
Ended
$82k Vol.$48k Liq.1Ended
5%
Jacky Rosen
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
$3k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
↑ 44%
How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
$41k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$41k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 9 months
36%
35%
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?
$24k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ended
$24k Vol.$6k Liq.Ended
18%
Yes
61%
Super Heavy booster explodes?
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?
$15k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ended
$15k Vol.$6k Liq.Ended
4%
Yes