Attack Predictions & Odds· 129 markets

W
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?

0%

Yes

I
Israel false flag attack confirmed?

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

$1 Vol.
$141 Liq.
Ends in 29 days

50%

Yes

N
NATO x Russia military clash by...?

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

$1.4m Vol.
$132k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months

19%

December 31

I
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

$10.2m Vol.
$579k Liq.
🔥$1.2m today
347
Ended

89%

December 31

I
Iran military action against Israel on...?

Iran military action against Israel on...?

$2.1m Vol.
$6k Liq.
🔥$125k today
1
Ended

98%

Yes

I
Iran military action against ___ by March 31?

Iran military action against ___ by March 31?

$3.7m Vol.
$174k Liq.
🔥$69k today
Ended

99%

Bahrain

I
Iran military action against Israel on...?

Iran military action against Israel on...?

$22k Vol.
$64k Liq.
Ends in 29 days

97%

April 1

I
Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

$201k Vol.
$199k Liq.
Ends in 29 days

100%

Bahrain

W
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

$460k Vol.
$49k Liq.
50
Ends in 3 months

90%

Yes

H
How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

$28k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 29 days

41%

2–3

I
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

$119k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ended

2%

Yes

H
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

$94k Vol.
$28k Liq.
4
Ends in 29 days

53%

April 30

I
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

$6k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 29 days

95%

April 1

I
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?

Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?

$55k Vol.
$26k Liq.
1
Ends in 29 days

26%

April 30

R
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?

3%

Yes

I
Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

$73k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ended

100%

March 28

W
What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?

What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?

$117k Vol.
$161k Liq.
Ends in 29 days

39%

Ras Laffan Industrial City

I
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?

Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?

$15k Vol.
$19k Liq.
7
Ends in 29 days

54%

Yes