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Attack Predictions & Odds· 132 markets

AllPoliticsStrikeIranRussiaUkraineTrumpMiddle EastIsraelSaudi ArabiaOilHouthisShippingQatarIlhan OmarNuclearStrikesGeopoliticsTrump PresidencyWorldKhameneiUAEBahrainKuwaitOmanMinnesota UnrestRewards 10, 4.5, 50ShipIran RegimeMilitary StrikesIran Offensive StrikesRegional SpilloverIran CeasefireU.S. X IranIsrael X Iran
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?

Geopolitics·U.S. x Iran

Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?

$428k Vol.
$13k Liq.
27

2%

Yes

Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack?

Geopolitics·U.S. x Iran

Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack?

$304k Vol.
$12k Liq.
8

1%

Yes

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

Geopolitics·Israel

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

$1 Vol.
$141 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

50%

Yes

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

Geopolitics·Trump Presidency

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

$1.4m Vol.
$119k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months

21%

December 31

Nothing Ever Happens: Ilhan Omar

Politics·Minnesota Unrest

Nothing Ever Happens: Ilhan Omar

$18k Vol.
$7k Liq.
4
Ends in about 9 hours

100%

Nothing

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

World·Middle East

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

$8.6m Vol.
$479k Liq.
🔥$270k today
329
Ends in about 9 hours

80%

December 31

Iran military action against ___ by March 31?

Politics·Iran

Iran military action against ___ by March 31?

$3.6m Vol.
$178k Liq.
🔥$256k today
Ends in about 9 hours

97%

Bahrain

Iran military action against Israel on...?

Geopolitics·Israel x Iran

Iran military action against Israel on...?

$2.0m Vol.
$15k Liq.
🔥$211k today
1
Ends in about 9 hours

97%

March 27

What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?

Geopolitics·Iran

What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?

$98k Vol.
$107k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

41%

Ras Laffan Industrial City

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

Geopolitics·U.S. x Iran

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

$165k Vol.
$129k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

98%

Kuwait

Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?

Geopolitics·strikes

Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?

$43k Vol.
$18k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month

26%

April 30

What will Iran strike by March 31?

Geopolitics·Iran

What will Iran strike by March 31?

$474k Vol.
$66k Liq.

11%

Khurais Field

US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by...?

Geopolitics·Iran

US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by...?

$597k Vol.
$15k Liq.
131
Ends in about 9 hours

3%

Yes

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

Geopolitics·Middle East

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

$62k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours

98%

March 28

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?

Geopolitics·Russia

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?

$21k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours

28%

Yes

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Geopolitics·Khamenei

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

$413k Vol.
$34k Liq.
50
Ends in 3 months

85%

Yes

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

Geopolitics·shipping

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

$17k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

61%

<2

Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?

Geopolitics·Trump

Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?

$351k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours

2%

Yes

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

Geopolitics·Oil

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

$83k Vol.
$35k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month

60%

April 30

Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?

Geopolitics·Israel

Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?

$10k Vol.
$8k Liq.
6
Ends in about 1 month

74%

Yes