Board Appointments Predictions & Odds· 105 markets
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
$15.7m Vol.
$1.7m Liq.
🔥$214k today
69
Ends in 7 months
$15.7m Vol.🔥$214k today$1.7m Liq.69Ends in 7 months
95%
Kevin Warsh
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?
$435k Vol.
$22k Liq.
11
Ends in about 2 months
$435k Vol.$22k Liq.11Ends in about 2 months
53%
May 15
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$97k Vol.
$32k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$97k Vol.$32k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
47%
US x Iran Ceasefire
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
$117k Vol.
$14k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$117k Vol.$14k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
70%
December 31
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
$7k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
Will Condoleezza Rice join the Trump administration by April 30?
$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$2k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
2%
Yes
Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?
$3.4m Vol.
$147k Liq.
130
Ends in about 5 hours
$3.4m Vol.$147k Liq.130Ends in about 5 hours
2%
India
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m Vol.
$356k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.4m Vol.$356k Liq.Ends in 9 months
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
$65k Vol.
$31k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$65k Vol.$31k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
3%
Yes
Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition
$145k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in about 5 hours
$145k Vol.$12k Liq.2Ends in about 5 hours
100%
Yes
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?
$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$0 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
53%
>5%
Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?
$72k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$72k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in 3 months
94%
Thom Tillis
3%
Yes
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?
$211 Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$211 Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in 9 months
35%
60+
EPL · Soccer
Next Manchester United manager?
$447k Vol.
$34k Liq.
218
Ends in 9 months
$447k Vol.$34k Liq.218Ends in 9 months
66%
Michael Carrick
sam altman · OpenAI
Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30?
$15k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
$15k Vol.$0 Liq.2Ended
No
March 31
