Board Changes Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

NBA Draft · Sports
Will the NBA alter draft lottery rules?
$37 Vol.
$638 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$37 Vol.$638 Liq.Ends in 3 months
72%
Yes

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?
$12k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$12k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 3 months
72%
Increase

82%
Pause–Pause–Pause

97%
Pause–Pause–Pause

Fed Decision in June?
$4.8m Vol.
$871k Liq.
🔥$250k today
14
Ends in 3 months
$4.8m Vol.🔥$250k today$871k Liq.14Ends in 3 months
89%
No change

yale · NCAA
Vicky Chun out as Yale AD by June 30, 2026?
$144 Vol.
$799 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$144 Vol.$799 Liq.Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes

Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31?
$199k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ended
$199k Vol.$12k Liq.Ended
0%
Yes

Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m Vol.
$366k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$3.4m Vol.$366k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM

Trump · Fed Rates
Trump drops Powell investigation by…?
$4k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$4k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 3 months
64%
June 30

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?
$1.9m Vol.
$143k Liq.
37
Ends in about 1 month
$1.9m Vol.$143k Liq.37Ends in about 1 month
1%
May 14

Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
$12k Vol.
$17k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$12k Vol.$17k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes

adam d'angelo · OpenAI
Adam D'Angelo leaves OpenAI board by Nov 30?
$6k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$6k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
No

No announcement by December 31

No announcement in 2024

September 30

Mauricio Pochettino

sam altman · OpenAI
Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30?
$15k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
$15k Vol.$0 Liq.2Ended
No

