Chair Of The Federal Reserve Predictions & Odds· 111 markets

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Trump drops Powell investigation by…?

Trump · Fed Rates

Trump drops Powell investigation by…?

69%

June 30

$8k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
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Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

92%

Kevin Cramer

$72k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
K
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

2%

Yes

$66k Vol.
$29k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
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Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

96%

Kevin Warsh

$20.4m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$1.1m today
74
Ends in 7 months
K
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?

54%

May 15

$454k Vol.
$30k Liq.
11
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

27%

US x Iran Ceasefire

$115k Vol.
$59k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
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Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Parlays · Hide From New

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

76%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$107k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
H
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

32%

51

$62k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
J
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

67%

December 31

$118k Vol.
$19k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
J
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

1%

Yes

$1.9m Vol.
$40k Liq.
36
Ends in about 1 month
F
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

86%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$721k Vol.
$99k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
F
Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$421k Vol.
$90k Liq.
Ends in 24 days
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What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

32%

3.75%

$6.0m Vol.
$295k Liq.
5
Ends in 8 months
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Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

91%

No change

$5.5m Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
🔥$86k today
Ends in 2 months
W
What will Powell say during April Press Conference?

95%

Good Afternoon

$49 Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 24 days
F
Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

79%

No change

$3.3m Vol.
$298k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
F
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

19%

Yes

$78k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
F
Fed abolished before 2027?

Fed abolished before 2027?

4%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
F
Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

98%

No change

$49.7m Vol.
$4.3m Liq.
🔥$1.8m today
4
Ends in 24 days