Chuck Schumer Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

Politics
Will Schumer remain Minority Leader through March 31?
$9k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in about 4 hours
$9k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ends in about 4 hours
99%
Yes

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?
$81k Vol.
$52k Liq.
1
Ends in about 4 hours
$81k Vol.$52k Liq.1Ends in about 4 hours
5%
Jacky Rosen

34%
Chuck Schumer

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?
$72k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$72k Vol.$24k Liq.Ends in 3 months
95%
Kevin Cramer

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
$3k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$11k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
68%
Not revealed in 2026

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
$551k Vol.
$12k Liq.
28
Ends in about 4 hours
$551k Vol.$12k Liq.28Ends in about 4 hours
51%
December 31, 2026

98%
Stratton 6–9%

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$14k Liq.4Ends in about 1 month
31%
April 30

16%
Isfahan nuclear facility

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
$931k Vol.
$10k Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months
$931k Vol.$10k Liq.7Ends in 9 months
54%
December 31

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$5k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$5k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
82%
Yes

43%
↓ 39000

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
$1.3m Vol.
$304k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$1.3m Vol.$304k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
52%
Democratic Party

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$97k Vol.
$30k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$97k Vol.$30k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
47%
US x Iran Ceasefire

White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$52k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$52k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 4 days
43%
160-179

White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$12k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$12k Vol.$28k Liq.Ends in 8 days
37%
160-179

What will Trump say this week? (April 5)
$4k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$4k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 5 days
85%
Sunday

Ted Cruz # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$18k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$18k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 4 days
49%
100-119

White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$155k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 20 hours
$155k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 20 hours
79%
160-179
