Defesne Predictions & Odds· 128 markets

P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?

$73k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

3%

Yes

P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

$9k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

14%

Yes

P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

$624 Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

25%

Yes

T
Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

$163k Vol.
$18k Liq.
8
Ended

62%

December 31

W
Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?

Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?

$572k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ended

4%

Yes

I
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

$156k Vol.
$14k Liq.
20
Ends in 3 months

50%

Yes

U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

$132k Vol.
$19k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

11%

Yes

W
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

$46k Vol.
$14k Liq.
3
Ends in 28 days

16%

Yes

E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

$102k Vol.
$12k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months

8%

Yes

1
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

$102k Vol.
$12k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months

4%

Yes

M
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

$140k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

19%

Yes

U
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

$1.5m Vol.
$13k Liq.
78
Ends in 3 months

11%

Yes

5
5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

$276k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

37%

Yes

1
100kt meteor strike in 2026?

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

$6k Vol.
$4k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months

7%

Yes

C
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs DEPO (BO3) - PGL Astana: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs DEPO (BO3) - PGL Astana: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

$3k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours

70%

The Huns Esports

L
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Esports · league of legends

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 days

50%

Natus Vincere

C
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs The Last Resort (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs The Last Resort (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs

$0 Vol.
$586 Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours

48%

Donstu Esports

C
Counter-Strike: Pigeons vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Pigeons vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs

$8 Vol.
$766 Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours

13%

Pigeons

C
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs RUSTEC (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs RUSTEC (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs

$1 Vol.
$407 Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours

52%

ex-Zero Tenacity

C
Counter-Strike: desempleHADAS vs Crashers (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: desempleHADAS vs Crashers (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs

$142 Vol.
$945 Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours

11%

desempleHADAS