Defesne Predictions & Odds· 128 markets
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
$23k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$23k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 9 months
31%
Yes
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
$84k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$84k Vol.$32k Liq.Ends in 27 days
4%
Yes
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
$11k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$11k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 3 months
16%
Yes
I
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
$163k Vol.
$14k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months
$163k Vol.$14k Liq.21Ends in 3 months
51%
Yes
T
57%
December 31
U
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
$1.5m Vol.
$15k Liq.
79
Ends in 3 months
$1.5m Vol.$15k Liq.79Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$133k Vol.
$19k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$133k Vol.$19k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
5
42%
Yes
W
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
$47k Vol.
$15k Liq.
3
Ends in 27 days
$47k Vol.$15k Liq.3Ends in 27 days
14%
Yes
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$102k Vol.
$13k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$102k Vol.$13k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
1
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
$102k Vol.
$11k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$102k Vol.$11k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
M
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
$140k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$140k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
1
7%
Yes
C
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs DEPO (BO3) - PGL Astana: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs
$14k Vol.
$32 Liq.
Ended
$14k Vol.$32 Liq.Ended
L
Esports · league of legends
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$3k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 1 day
53%
Natus Vincere
C
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs G2 Ares (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs
$7 Vol.
$74 Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$7 Vol.$74 Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
51%
Donstu Esports
C
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: desempleHADAS vs MAGICOS (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs
$826 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 20 hours
$826 Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 20 hours
46%
desempleHADAS
L
Esports · league of legends
LoL: 7REX vs Team Solid (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season
$0 Vol.
$142 Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$0 Vol.$142 Liq.Ends in 5 days
47%
7REX
C
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ENCE Academy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs
$166 Vol.
$857 Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$166 Vol.$857 Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
65%
UNiTY esports