Department Of Defense Predictions & Odds· 111 markets
T
57%
December 31
5
42%
Yes
W
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
$47k Vol.
$22k Liq.
3
Ends in 27 days
$47k Vol.$22k Liq.3Ends in 27 days
14%
Yes
M
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
$140k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$140k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
1
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
$102k Vol.
$12k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$102k Vol.$12k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
4%
Yes
1
7%
Yes
U
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
$1.5m Vol.
$15k Liq.
79
Ends in 3 months
$1.5m Vol.$15k Liq.79Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
$11k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$11k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
$23k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$23k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in 9 months
33%
Yes
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
$83k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$83k Vol.$32k Liq.Ends in 27 days
4%
Yes
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
$659k Vol.
$21k Liq.
🔥$144k today
229
$659k Vol.🔥$144k today$21k Liq.229
97%
Yes
M
53%
Yes
W
Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?
$9k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$9k Vol.$26k Liq.Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$133k Vol.
$30k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$133k Vol.$30k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
M
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.6m Vol.
$443k Liq.
🔥$146k today
259
Ends in 3 months
$14.6m Vol.🔥$146k today$443k Liq.259Ends in 3 months
65%
>$600M
U
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?
$26k Vol.
$34k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$26k Vol.$34k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$102k Vol.
$13k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$102k Vol.$13k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
U
US announces military support of Kurds by...?
$494k Vol.
$13k Liq.
40
Ends in 27 days
$494k Vol.$13k Liq.40Ends in 27 days
5%
Yes
U
US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?
$237k Vol.
$17k Liq.
11
Ends in 27 days
$237k Vol.$17k Liq.11Ends in 27 days
8%
Yes