Department Of Defense Predictions & Odds· 113 markets
T
57%
December 31
5
42%
Yes
W
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
$47k Vol.
$22k Liq.
3
Ends in 27 days
$47k Vol.$22k Liq.3Ends in 27 days
14%
Yes
M
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
$140k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$140k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
1
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
$102k Vol.
$12k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$102k Vol.$12k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
4%
Yes
1
7%
Yes
U
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
$1.5m Vol.
$15k Liq.
79
Ends in 3 months
$1.5m Vol.$15k Liq.79Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$51k Vol.
$8k Liq.
14
Ends in 27 days
$51k Vol.$8k Liq.14Ends in 27 days
18%
Yes
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
$10k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$10k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
$23k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$23k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 9 months
28%
Yes
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
$633k Vol.
$17k Liq.
🔥$118k today
219
$633k Vol.🔥$118k today$17k Liq.219
93%
Yes
M
53%
Yes
W
Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?
$9k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$9k Vol.$26k Liq.Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$133k Vol.
$28k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$133k Vol.$28k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
M
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.6m Vol.
$441k Liq.
🔥$163k today
259
Ends in 3 months
$14.6m Vol.🔥$163k today$441k Liq.259Ends in 3 months
64%
>$600M
U
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?
$26k Vol.
$34k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$26k Vol.$34k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$102k Vol.
$12k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$102k Vol.$12k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
U
US announces military support of Kurds by...?
$494k Vol.
$13k Liq.
40
Ends in 27 days
$494k Vol.$13k Liq.40Ends in 27 days
5%
Yes
U
US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?
$237k Vol.
$17k Liq.
11
Ends in 27 days
$237k Vol.$17k Liq.11Ends in 27 days
8%
Yes