Detain Predictions & Odds· 149 markets
Les Wexner arrested by March 31?
$20k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$20k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
0%
Yes
Iran leadership change by...?
$5.2m Vol.
$207k Liq.
🔥$118k today
885
Ends in 9 months
$5.2m Vol.🔥$118k today$207k Liq.885Ends in 9 months
53%
December 31
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
$7.6m Vol.
$208k Liq.
705
Ends in 9 months
$7.6m Vol.$208k Liq.705Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?
$108k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$108k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
3%
Yes
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
$3.2m Vol.
$219k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.2m Vol.$219k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
$299k Vol.
$38k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$299k Vol.$38k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
Eric Adams arrested by March 31?
$16k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in about 13 hours
$16k Vol.$15k Liq.2Ends in about 13 hours
0%
Yes
Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31?
$171k Vol.
$16k Liq.
6
Ends in about 13 hours
$171k Vol.$16k Liq.6Ends in about 13 hours
0%
Yes
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?
$7k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$7k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
25%
April 30
Netanyahu arrested by March 31?
$136k Vol.
$16k Liq.
4
Ends in about 13 hours
$136k Vol.$16k Liq.4Ends in about 13 hours
0%
Yes
Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by March 31, 2026?
$132k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$132k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
0%
Yes
Geopolitics · World
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
$1.7m Vol.
$65k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$1.7m Vol.$65k Liq.Ends in 3 months
3%
Yes
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?
$9k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
$9k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 16 days
31%
Yes
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
$900k Vol.
$48k Liq.
46
Ends in 3 months
$900k Vol.$48k Liq.46Ends in 3 months
60%
December 31
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
$1.0m Vol.
$85k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$1.0m Vol.$85k Liq.Ends in 3 months
4%
Yes
Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?
$493k Vol.
$57k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$493k Vol.$57k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
38%
December 31
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
$389k Vol.
$12k Liq.
16
Ends in about 13 hours
$389k Vol.$12k Liq.16Ends in about 13 hours
3%
Yes
World · Politics
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?
$62k Vol.
$51k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$62k Vol.$51k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
67%
Yes
José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?
$144k Vol.
$10k Liq.
32
Ends in about 13 hours
$144k Vol.$10k Liq.32Ends in about 13 hours
0%
Yes
Jerome Powell arrested by March 31?
$79k Vol.
$37k Liq.
1
Ends in about 13 hours
$79k Vol.$37k Liq.1Ends in about 13 hours
0%
Yes