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Disaster Predictions & Odds· 117 markets

AllPoliticsCryptoSpaceXScienceIranWeatherHurricanesClimateTrumpAirdropsOilNasaNatural DisastersCultureNuclearSpaceClimate & WeatherEarthquakeGeopoliticsVanceParlaysWorldNatural DisasterHurricaneAstroidMegaETHPre MarketClimaClimate & ScienceEarthquakesMilitary StrikesIran CeasefireU.S. X IranIsrael X Iran
N
Natural Disaster in 2026?

Climate & Science·Science

Natural Disaster in 2026?

$191k Vol.
$17k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months

30%

Yes

M
Megaquake by June 30?

Weather · earthquake

Megaquake by June 30?

$37k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

23%

Yes

N
Named storm forms before hurricane season?

Natural Disaster · Science

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

$329k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

41%

Yes

M
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Climate & Science·SpaceX

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

$140k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

19%

Yes

W
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

Climate & Science·climate

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

$12k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

7%

Yes

M
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Climate & Science·Science

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

$38k Vol.
$19k Liq.
9
Ends in 12 months

11%

Yes

5
5kt meteor strike in 2026?

Climate & Science·astroid

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

$276k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

37%

Yes

W
Will a hurricane form by May 31?

Climate & Science·Weather

Will a hurricane form by May 31?

$36k Vol.
$5k Liq.
4
Ends in about 2 months

7%

Yes

H
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

Culture·Weather

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

$1.8m Vol.
$62k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months

82%

8+

H
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

Climate & Science·Weather

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

$1.1m Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

28%

14–16

H
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

Climate & Science·Earthquakes

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

$677k Vol.
$18k Liq.
9
Ends in 12 months

45%

1

H
How many Tornadoes in the US in March?

Climate & Science·Weather

How many Tornadoes in the US in March?

$181k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 8 days

100%

150+

9
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Climate & Science·Weather

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

$174k Vol.
$8k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months

12%

Yes

W
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Climate & Science·climate

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

$315k Vol.
$5k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months

33%

Yes

1
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Climate & Science·Science

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

$530k Vol.
$28k Liq.
26
Ends in 9 months

6%

Yes

H
How many Tornadoes in the US in April?

Natural Disasters · Weather

How many Tornadoes in the US in April?

$792 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

51%

350+

H
How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

Climate & Science·Weather

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

$46k Vol.
$12k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

53%

1250+

M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

Crypto·Airdrops

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m Vol.
$12k Liq.
108
Ends in 3 months

51%

Yes

W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Geopolitics·Trump

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$42k Vol.
$12k Liq.
13
Ends in 28 days

25%

April 30

W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

Politics·Iran

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$536k Vol.
$16k Liq.
🔥$129k today
172

16%

Yes