Emergency Predictions & Odds· 390 markets

F
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

$74k Vol.
$20k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months

17%

Yes

T
Trump declares election interference national emergency?

Trump declares election interference national emergency?

$136k Vol.
$14k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months

28%

Yes

H
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

$14.9m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$242k today
61
Ends in 9 months

36%

0 (0 bps)

F
Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

$1.2m Vol.
$183k Liq.
17
Ends in 3 months

64%

December Meeting

N
Nothing Ever Happens: March

Nothing Ever Happens: March

$297k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ended

70%

Nothing

W
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

$1.3m Vol.
$235k Liq.
18
Ends in 9 months

63%

↓ 3.25%

F
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$715k Vol.
$116k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

84%

Pause–Pause–Pause

F
Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$392k Vol.
$80k Liq.
24
Ends in 29 days

97%

Pause–Pause–Pause

S
State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?

State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?

$32k Vol.
$12k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months

12%

Yes

W
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

$328k Vol.
$22k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months

46%

Yes

F
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$2k Vol.
$137k Liq.
Ends in 4 months

74%

Pause–Pause–Pause

P
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Parlays · Hide From New

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

$65k Vol.
$53k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

79%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

F
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

$544k Vol.
$6k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months

24%

Yes

N
New Trump executive order to restrict voting by March 31?

New Trump executive order to restrict voting by March 31?

$766 Vol.
$652 Liq.
Ended

1%

Yes

W
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

$3k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

48%

Yes

M
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

Economy

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

24%

Yes

M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m Vol.
$11k Liq.
108
Ends in 3 months

46%

Yes

W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$381k Vol.
$18k Liq.
71

11%

Isfahan nuclear facility

W
Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency for Chinese pneumonia outbreak in 2023?

who · public health

Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency for Chinese pneumonia outbreak in 2023?

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No