Emergency Predictions & Odds· 390 markets
F
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$74k Vol.
$20k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$74k Vol.$20k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes
T
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
$136k Vol.
$14k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
$136k Vol.$14k Liq.12Ends in 9 months
28%
Yes
H
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$14.9m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$242k today
61
Ends in 9 months
$14.9m Vol.🔥$242k today$1.1m Liq.61Ends in 9 months
36%
0 (0 bps)
F
64%
December Meeting
N
70%
Nothing
W
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.3m Vol.
$235k Liq.
18
Ends in 9 months
$1.3m Vol.$235k Liq.18Ends in 9 months
63%
↓ 3.25%
F
84%
Pause–Pause–Pause
F
97%
Pause–Pause–Pause
S
State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?
$32k Vol.
$12k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$32k Vol.$12k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
W
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
$328k Vol.
$22k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
$328k Vol.$22k Liq.36Ends in 3 months
46%
Yes
F
74%
Pause–Pause–Pause
P
Parlays · Hide From New
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
$65k Vol.
$53k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$65k Vol.$53k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
79%
Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%
F
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
$544k Vol.
$6k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$544k Vol.$6k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
N
New Trump executive order to restrict voting by March 31?
$766 Vol.
$652 Liq.
Ended
$766 Vol.$652 Liq.Ended
1%
Yes
W
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?
$3k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 9 months
48%
Yes
M
Economy
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?
$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$2k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
M
46%
Yes
W
11%
Isfahan nuclear facility
W
who · public health
Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency for Chinese pneumonia outbreak in 2023?
$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$11k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
No
W
All
Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency for H5N1 influenza by June 30?
$5k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$5k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
No