Emergency Predictions & Odds· 410 markets
T
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
$136k Vol.
$12k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$136k Vol.$12k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
27%
Yes
F
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$74k Vol.
$19k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$74k Vol.$19k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes
H
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$15.4m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$164k today
61
Ends in 9 months
$15.4m Vol.🔥$164k today$1.2m Liq.61Ends in 9 months
31%
0 (0 bps)
F
64%
December Meeting
F
98%
Pause–Pause–Pause
F
27%
October Meeting
P
Parlays · Hide From New
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
$107k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$107k Vol.$54k Liq.Ends in 9 months
75%
Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%
W
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.3m Vol.
$215k Liq.
20
Ends in 9 months
$1.3m Vol.$215k Liq.20Ends in 9 months
67%
↓ 3.25%
F
84%
Pause–Pause–Pause
F
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
$544k Vol.
$5k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$544k Vol.$5k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
27%
Yes
S
State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?
$38k Vol.
$23k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$38k Vol.$23k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
W
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
$329k Vol.
$27k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
$329k Vol.$27k Liq.36Ends in 3 months
48%
Yes
W
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?
$3k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 9 months
47%
Yes
F
76%
Pause–Pause–Pause
M
Economy
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?
$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$2k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
M
51%
Yes
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
$539k Vol.
$18k Liq.
🔥$120k today
173
$539k Vol.🔥$120k today$18k Liq.173
15%
Yes
W
who · public health
Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency for Chinese pneumonia outbreak in 2023?
$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$11k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
No