Emergency Predictions & Odds· 410 markets

T
Trump declares election interference national emergency?

Trump declares election interference national emergency?

$136k Vol.
$12k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months

27%

Yes

F
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

$74k Vol.
$19k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

16%

Yes

H
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

$15.4m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$164k today
61
Ends in 9 months

31%

0 (0 bps)

F
Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

$1.3m Vol.
$182k Liq.
16
Ends in 3 months

64%

December Meeting

F
Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$406k Vol.
$96k Liq.
35
Ends in 26 days

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

N
Nothing Ever Happens: March

Nothing Ever Happens: March

$317k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ended

68%

Nothing

F
Fed rate hike by...?

Fed rate hike by...?

$3k Vol.
$198k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

27%

October Meeting

P
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Parlays · Hide From New

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

$107k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

75%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

W
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

$1.3m Vol.
$215k Liq.
20
Ends in 9 months

67%

↓ 3.25%

F
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$717k Vol.
$108k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

84%

Pause–Pause–Pause

F
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

$544k Vol.
$5k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months

27%

Yes

S
State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?

State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?

$38k Vol.
$23k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months

11%

Yes

W
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

$329k Vol.
$27k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months

48%

Yes

W
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

$3k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

47%

Yes

F
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$2k Vol.
$124k Liq.
Ends in 4 months

76%

Pause–Pause–Pause

M
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

Economy

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months

24%

Yes

M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m Vol.
$13k Liq.
108
Ends in 3 months

51%

Yes

W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$539k Vol.
$18k Liq.
🔥$120k today
173

15%

Yes

H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

$437k Vol.
$5k Liq.
27

36%

Yes

W
Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency for Chinese pneumonia outbreak in 2023?

who · public health

Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency for Chinese pneumonia outbreak in 2023?

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No