Eruption Predictions & Odds· 104 markets
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
$38k Vol.
$19k Liq.
8
Ends in 12 months
$38k Vol.$19k Liq.8Ends in 12 months
12%
Yes
30%
Yes
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$668k Vol.
$15k Liq.
10
Ends in 12 months
$668k Vol.$15k Liq.10Ends in 12 months
43%
1
46%
Yes
Crypto
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?
$7k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
87%
50
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
$139k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$139k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
43%
Yes
30%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$30k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 30 days
$30k Vol.$14k Liq.4Ends in 30 days
39%
April 30
Weather · earthquake
Megaquake by June 30?
$23k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$23k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 3 months
21%
Yes
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
$102k Vol.
$11k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$102k Vol.$11k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?
$22k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$22k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 9 months
40%
Yes
6%
Yes
24%
Isfahan nuclear facility
1%
Yes
63%
April 17
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.0m Vol.
$447k Liq.
257
Ends in 3 months
$14.0m Vol.$447k Liq.257Ends in 3 months
44%
>$600M