Executive Action Predictions & Odds· 129 markets
New Trump executive order to restrict voting by March 31?
$754 Vol.
$689 Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$754 Vol.$689 Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
1%
Yes
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?
$415k Vol.
$10k Liq.
25
Ends in about 8 hours
$415k Vol.$10k Liq.25Ends in about 8 hours
1%
Yes
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
$9.1m Vol.
$192k Liq.
265
Ends in 9 months
$9.1m Vol.$192k Liq.265Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?
$162k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$162k Vol.$30k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
1%
Yes
Will Trump nationalize elections?
$13k Vol.
$11k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$13k Vol.$11k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
Will Trump cap credit card interest rates by...?
$19k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in about 8 hours
$19k Vol.$1k Liq.1Ends in about 8 hours
1%
Yes
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?
$103k Vol.
$6k Liq.
20
Ended
$103k Vol.$6k Liq.20Ended
5%
Yes
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?
$39k Vol.
$21k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$39k Vol.$21k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
5%
Yes
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?
$48k Vol.
$21k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$48k Vol.$21k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
$30k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$30k Vol.$12k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
Will Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines by June 30?
$2k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
$2k Vol.$11k Liq.5Ends in 3 months
60%
Yes
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?
$0 Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$0 Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 3 months
15%
Yes
Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?
$9k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$9k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
$31.0m Vol.
$326k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$31.0m Vol.$326k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
$56k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$56k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 9 months
12%
Yes
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
$4.9m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$150k today
Ends in 9 months
$4.9m Vol.🔥$150k today$1.4m Liq.Ends in 9 months
10%
December 31
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?
$1.2m Vol.
$40k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
$1.2m Vol.$40k Liq.37Ends in 3 months
2%
Yes
Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?
$556k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$556k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
24%
April 30
Politics · Culture
Will TikTok be banned by March 31?
$26k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$26k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
0%
Yes
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?
$7k Vol.
$956 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$956 Liq.1Ends in 9 months
71%
December 31, 2026