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FOMC Predictions & Odds· 157 markets

AllPoliticsAliensBusinessFinanceTrumpFedCultureUS PoliticsMAGACourtsFed RatesGeopoliticsEconomyFOMCParlaysJerome PowellEconomic PolicyMacro IndicatorsFed ChairKevin WarshJudy Shelton
F
Fed decision in April?

Economy·Economic Policy

Fed decision in April?

$40.2m Vol.
$4.2m Liq.
🔥$2.5m today
26
Ends in 29 days

98%

No change

F
Fed Decision in July?

Economy·fomc

Fed Decision in July?

$3.1m Vol.
$267k Liq.
🔥$850k today
1
Ends in 4 months

77%

No change

F
Fed Decision in June?

Politics·Economic Policy

Fed Decision in June?

$4.8m Vol.
$871k Liq.
🔥$283k today
14
Ends in 3 months

89%

No change

F
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$715k Vol.
$115k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

84%

Pause–Pause–Pause

F
Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Economy·Economic Policy

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$392k Vol.
$99k Liq.
23
Ends in 29 days

97%

Pause–Pause–Pause

F
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$2k Vol.
$135k Liq.
Ends in 4 months

74%

Pause–Pause–Pause

H
How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

Politics·Fed

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

$10k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 29 days

46%

2

H
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Economy·Business

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

$14.9m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$266k today
59
Ends in 9 months

35%

0 (0 bps)

W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

Politics·Fed Rates

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

$5.9m Vol.
$298k Liq.
🔥$80k today
9
Ends in 8 months

26%

3.75%

F
Fed rate cut by...?

Economy·Fed

Fed rate cut by...?

$1.2m Vol.
$179k Liq.
17
Ends in 3 months

64%

December Meeting

W
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

Economy·Jerome Powell

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

$1.3m Vol.
$237k Liq.
18
Ends in 9 months

63%

↓ 3.25%

F
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Finance·Business

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

$74k Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

17%

Yes

P
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Parlays · Hide From New

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

$65k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

80%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

J
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Politics·Fed

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

$117k Vol.
$15k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months

70%

December 31

W
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Politics·Trump

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

$15.9m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$324k today
72
Ends in 7 months

95%

Kevin Warsh

W
Will Trump try to Fire Powell by March 31?

Politics·Trump

Will Trump try to Fire Powell by March 31?

$48k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ended

0%

Yes

J
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Politics·Jerome Powell

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

$1.9m Vol.
$143k Liq.
37
Ends in about 1 month

1%

May 14

H
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

Politics·Trump

How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

$41k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

34%

54

N
Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition

Culture·Fed

Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition

$145k Vol.
$11k Liq.
3
Ended

100%

Yes

W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

Geopolitics·Trump

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

$97k Vol.
$34k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months

48%

US x Iran Ceasefire