Funding Bill Predictions & Odds· 109 markets
Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?
$81k Vol.
$58k Liq.
1
Ends in about 6 hours
$81k Vol.$58k Liq.1Ends in about 6 hours
9%
Jacky Rosen
When will the DHS shutdown end?
$525k Vol.
$138k Liq.
🔥$70k today
Ends in about 1 month
$525k Vol.🔥$70k today$138k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
26%
After April 30
When will the DHS shutdown end?
$1.7m Vol.
$83k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
$1.7m Vol.$83k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
100%
After March 31
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?
$3k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 9 months
48%
Yes
Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?
$11k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$11k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 9 months
89%
Yes
Which bills will become law in 2026?
$5k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 9 months
67%
Housing for the 21st Century Act
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
$4k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 19 days
$4k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 19 days
65%
Yes
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
$73k Vol.
$6k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$73k Vol.$6k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
42%
Yes
Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?
$37k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$37k Vol.$50k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
7%
Yes
55%
April 30
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$100k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
28%
Yes
SAVE Act becomes law by...?
$232k Vol.
$40k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
$232k Vol.$40k Liq.4Ends in about 1 month
25%
December 31
How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?
$25k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
$25k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
54%
4
1%
Yes
ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?
$360k Vol.
$14k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$360k Vol.$14k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
83%
Not Extended & Democratic Party
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
$2.8m Vol.
$50k Liq.
14
Ends in 7 months
$2.8m Vol.$50k Liq.14Ends in 7 months
35%
Yes
83%
Pause–Pause–Pause
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?
$0 Vol.
$578 Liq.
16
Ends in 3 months
$0 Vol.$578 Liq.16Ends in 3 months
30%
Yes