Gpt 4 Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

G
GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

$216k Vol.
$23k Liq.
40
Ended

83%

December 31, 2026

G
GPT-5.5 released by...?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

$301k Vol.
$18k Liq.
4

93%

June 30

O
OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

$3k Vol.
$748 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

50%

Yes

O
OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

$18k Vol.
$1k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months

41%

60%+

C
ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$1k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 7 days

6%

Yes

V
VEO 4 released by...?

VEO 4 released by...?

$43k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ended

14%

Yes

C
ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

$30k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 14 days

65%

April 17

C
Claude 4.7 released by...?

Claude 4.7 released by...?

$70k Vol.
$12k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months

67%

June 30

H
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

$677k Vol.
$16k Liq.
9
Ends in 12 months

46%

1

C
Counter-Strike: Skele vs LE-LUX Esports (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group B

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Skele vs LE-LUX Esports (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group B

$5k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Skele

C
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage

$0 Vol.
$559 Liq.
Ends in 1 day

32%

Rune Eaters

D
DeepSeek V4 released by...?

DeepSeek V4 released by...?

$948k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 12 days

86%

May 15

G
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

$30k Vol.
$12k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months

19%

Yes

C
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Rebels Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Rebels Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Playoffs

$468 Vol.
$895 Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours

74%

Team Nemesis

C
Counter-Strike: STATE vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: STATE vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage

$0 Vol.
$291 Liq.
Ends in 1 day

51%

STATE

C
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?

CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?

$66k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

13%

Yes

C
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Playoffs

$87 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours

61%

ECSTATIC

N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

$443k Vol.
$35k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

41%

Yes

E
English Premier League - Top 4 Finish

Soccer · Sports

English Premier League - Top 4 Finish

$1.6m Vol.
$126k Liq.
18
Ends in about 2 months

100%

Arsenal

C
Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

$65k Vol.
$20k Liq.
1
Ends in 27 days

60%

June 30