Hum Predictions & Odds· 352 markets
H
Human moon landing in 2026?
$1.9m Vol.
$34k Liq.
23
Ends in 9 months
$1.9m Vol.$34k Liq.23Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes
A
Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$190k Vol.
$21k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$190k Vol.$21k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
98%
35%+
G
Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$264k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ended
$264k Vol.$5k Liq.Ended
93%
40%+
O
OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$3k Vol.
$920 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$3k Vol.$920 Liq.1Ends in 3 months
50%
Yes
O
Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?
$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
U
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$77.2m Vol.
$2.0m Liq.
🔥$8.7m today
1,358
$77.2m Vol.🔥$8.7m today$2.0m Liq.1,358
76%
December 31
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
$1.8m Vol.
$322k Liq.
🔥$551k today
Ends in 28 days
$1.8m Vol.🔥$551k today$322k Liq.Ends in 28 days
2%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
$4.2m Vol.
$466k Liq.
🔥$132k today
Ends in 3 months
$4.2m Vol.🔥$132k today$466k Liq.Ends in 3 months
9%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
$12.4m Vol.
$490k Liq.
🔥$74k today
5,428
Ends in 9 months
$12.4m Vol.🔥$74k today$490k Liq.5,428Ends in 9 months
30%
Yes
I
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?
$429k Vol.
$43k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$429k Vol.$43k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
42%
June 30
M
Measles · Pandemics
Measles cases in U.S. by April 30?
$68k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$68k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in 28 days
93%
1800
U
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
$85k Vol.
$19k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$85k Vol.$19k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
46%
Yes
P
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?
$133k Vol.
$9k Liq.
26
Ends in 3 months
$133k Vol.$9k Liq.26Ends in 3 months
20%
Yes
S
Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?
$61k Vol.
$14k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$61k Vol.$14k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
31%
December 31, 2026
F
31%
June 30
U
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$74k Vol.
$19k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$74k Vol.$19k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
61%
Yes
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
$70k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$70k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
M
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
$7.5m Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$7.5m Vol.$41k Liq.Ends in 9 months
98%
↑2k
W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$100k Vol.
$50k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$100k Vol.$50k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
55%
US x Iran Ceasefire