Hurricane Season Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

Natural Disaster · Science
Named storm forms before hurricane season?
$327k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$327k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 2 months
41%
Yes

Will a hurricane form by May 31?
$36k Vol.
$5k Liq.
4
Ends in 2 months
$36k Vol.$5k Liq.4Ends in 2 months
6%
Yes

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?
$11k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$11k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 2 months
7%
Yes

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
$310k Vol.
$5k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$310k Vol.$5k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
39%
Yes

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
$116k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$116k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes

30%
Yes

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$13k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$13k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
42%
April 30
Sports · Games
Super Rugby Pacific: Chiefs vs Hurricanes
$124 Vol.
$242 Liq.
Ends in 26 days
$124 Vol.$242 Liq.Ends in 26 days
51%
Chiefs

45%
Yes

16%
Isfahan nuclear facility
Sports · Games
Super Rugby Pacific: Hurricanes vs Brumbies
$0 Vol.
$26 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$26 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
51%
Brumbies
Sports · Games
Super Rugby Pacific: Hurricanes vs Blues
$3k Vol.
$444 Liq.
Ends in 19 days
$3k Vol.$444 Liq.Ends in 19 days
71%
Hurricanes

Sports · Basketball
New Mexico Lobos vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane
$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
$2k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 2 days
64%
New Mexico Lobos

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?
$26k Vol.
$12k Liq.
1
Ends in 10 months
$26k Vol.$12k Liq.1Ends in 10 months
41%
1250+

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
$38k Vol.
$19k Liq.
8
Ends in about 1 year
$38k Vol.$19k Liq.8Ends in about 1 year
12%
Yes

Natural Disasters · Weather
How many Tornadoes in the US in April?
$647 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$647 Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
37%
200–229

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
$2.4m Vol.
$111k Liq.
20
Ends in 9 months
$2.4m Vol.$111k Liq.20Ends in 9 months
46%
2

What will Dow Jones (DJIA) hit in March?
$889 Vol.
$778 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$889 Vol.$778 Liq.Ends in 1 day
47%
↓ 42000

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$666k Vol.
$19k Liq.
9
Ends in about 1 year
$666k Vol.$19k Liq.9Ends in about 1 year
43%
1
