Imf Predictions & Odds· 120 markets
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?
$1.6m Vol.
$58k Liq.
🔥$287k today
Ends in about 10 hours
$1.6m Vol.🔥$287k today$58k Liq.Ends in about 10 hours
96%
0-10
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?
$326k Vol.
$53k Liq.
🔥$228k today
Ends in 3 days
$326k Vol.🔥$228k today$53k Liq.Ends in 3 days
80%
0-10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$1.5m Vol.
$116k Liq.
🔥$71k today
102
Ends in about 1 month
$1.5m Vol.🔥$71k today$116k Liq.102Ends in about 1 month
20%
Yes
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
$333k Vol.
$91k Liq.
🔥$62k today
33
Ends in about 1 month
$333k Vol.🔥$62k today$91k Liq.33Ends in about 1 month
37%
April 30
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)
$439k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ended
$439k Vol.$40k Liq.Ended
51%
15-19
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
$604k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in about 10 hours
$604k Vol.$44k Liq.Ends in about 10 hours
7%
20+
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?
$11k Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$11k Vol.$53k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
35%
0-10
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)
$24k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ended
$24k Vol.$13k Liq.Ended
49%
25-29
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
$7k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$7k Vol.$34k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
63%
20+
1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?
$50k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in about 10 hours
$50k Vol.$12k Liq.4Ends in about 10 hours
1%
Yes
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
$129k Vol.
$27k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$129k Vol.$27k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
9%
Yes
83%
Pause–Pause–Pause
97%
Pause–Pause–Pause
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
$363k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
$363k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 4 months
84%
Hong Wang
61%
Yes
Crypto
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?
$7k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
86%
50
What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?
$74k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$74k Vol.$12k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
70%
↓ 0.0014
What will Dow Jones (DJIA) hit in March?
$889 Vol.
$633 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$889 Vol.$633 Liq.Ends in 1 day
48%
↓ 43200
What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?
$22k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$22k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 9 months
40%
Yes