Initial Jobless Claims Predictions & Odds· 194 markets
L
Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?
$1.2m Vol.
$81k Liq.
22
Ends in over 1 year
$1.2m Vol.$81k Liq.22Ends in over 1 year
44%
Morgan Stanley
I
In which month will SpaceX IPO?
$162k Vol.
$72k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$162k Vol.$72k Liq.Ends in 9 months
68%
June
S
SpaceX IPO by ___ ?
$1.0m Vol.
$169k Liq.
🔥$197k today
24
Ends in 9 months
$1.0m Vol.🔥$197k today$169k Liq.24Ends in 9 months
94%
December 31
W
What will SpaceX's public ticker be?
$4.2m Vol.
$186k Liq.
🔥$59k today
176
Ends in over 1 year
$4.2m Vol.🔥$59k today$186k Liq.176Ends in over 1 year
49%
$X
I
94%
SpaceX
C
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q1 2026?
$233k Vol.
$61k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
$233k Vol.$61k Liq.Ends in 15 days
52%
4.5-5.0%
L
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$1.6m Vol.
$282k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$1.6m Vol.$282k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
90%
SpaceX
C
71%
4.0–5.0%
W
1%
Yes
W
Sports · NBA
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?
$31k Vol.
$229 Liq.
3
Ends in 10 days
$31k Vol.$229 Liq.3Ends in 10 days
4%
Yes
H
How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?
$58k Vol.
$52k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$58k Vol.$52k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
30%
6–10s
C
41%
Yes
H
27%
70-80B
K
42%
December 31, 2026
O
36%
December 31, 2026
T
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?
$8k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$8k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
W
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
$315k Vol.
$5k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$315k Vol.$5k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
33%
Yes
O
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
$243k Vol.
$8k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$243k Vol.$8k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes