Intelligence Predictions & Odds· 833 markets

F
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?

FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?

$9k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 16 days

56%

Yes

O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

$45k Vol.
$8k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months

19%

Yes

U
US forces enter Iran by..?

US forces enter Iran by..?

$99.9m Vol.
$19.4m Liq.
🔥$25.2m today
6,585

71%

December 31

U
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?

$1.4m Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

19%

Yes

U
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

$77k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

38%

June 30

I
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

$289k Vol.
$41k Liq.
3
Ends in about 2 months

18%

May 31

U
US strike on Cuba by...?

US strike on Cuba by...?

$3.0m Vol.
$87k Liq.
52
Ends in 9 months

31%

December 31

U
US strike on Mexico by...?

US strike on Mexico by...?

$3.3m Vol.
$50k Liq.
164
Ends in 9 months

21%

December 31

A
Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

$2.5m Vol.
$16k Liq.
59
Ended

23%

December 31

W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

$2.6m Vol.
$151k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

47%

Pam Bondi

T
Tulsi Gabbard out by...?

Tulsi Gabbard out by...?

$122k Vol.
$8k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months

32%

June 30

I
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

$159k Vol.
$9k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months

45%

Yes

U
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?

$29k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 12 days

18%

Yes

U
US strike on Colombia by...?

US strike on Colombia by...?

$1.5m Vol.
$32k Liq.
43
Ended

20%

December 31

H
How many times will the US take military action against Somalia in March?

How many times will the US take military action against Somalia in March?

$793k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 1 day

99%

6-9

U
US announces military support of Kurds by...?

US announces military support of Kurds by...?

$494k Vol.
$26k Liq.
41
Ends in 27 days

7%

Yes

U
US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

$237k Vol.
$15k Liq.
10
Ends in 27 days

8%

Yes

N
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

$272k Vol.
$24k Liq.
15
Ended

4%

Yes

U
US forces enter Venezuela again by...?

US forces enter Venezuela again by...?

$1.3m Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

13%

June 30

W
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

$46k Vol.
$32k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

8%

Yes