Intelligence Predictions & Odds· 833 markets
F
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
$9k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
$9k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 16 days
56%
Yes
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$45k Vol.
$8k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$45k Vol.$8k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
U
US forces enter Iran by..?
$99.9m Vol.
$19.4m Liq.
🔥$25.2m today
6,585
$99.9m Vol.🔥$25.2m today$19.4m Liq.6,585
71%
December 31
U
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?
$1.4m Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$1.4m Vol.$29k Liq.Ends in 3 months
19%
Yes
U
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?
$77k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$77k Vol.$26k Liq.Ends in 27 days
38%
June 30
I
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?
$289k Vol.
$41k Liq.
3
Ends in about 2 months
$289k Vol.$41k Liq.3Ends in about 2 months
18%
May 31
U
31%
December 31
U
US strike on Mexico by...?
$3.3m Vol.
$50k Liq.
164
Ends in 9 months
$3.3m Vol.$50k Liq.164Ends in 9 months
21%
December 31
A
23%
December 31
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$2.6m Vol.
$151k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$2.6m Vol.$151k Liq.Ends in 9 months
47%
Pam Bondi
T
32%
June 30
I
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
$159k Vol.
$9k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months
$159k Vol.$9k Liq.21Ends in 3 months
45%
Yes
U
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?
$29k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
$29k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 12 days
18%
Yes
U
20%
December 31
H
How many times will the US take military action against Somalia in March?
$793k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$793k Vol.$35k Liq.Ends in 1 day
99%
6-9
U
US announces military support of Kurds by...?
$494k Vol.
$26k Liq.
41
Ends in 27 days
$494k Vol.$26k Liq.41Ends in 27 days
7%
Yes
U
US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?
$237k Vol.
$15k Liq.
10
Ends in 27 days
$237k Vol.$15k Liq.10Ends in 27 days
8%
Yes
U
US forces enter Venezuela again by...?
$1.3m Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$1.3m Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in 3 months
13%
June 30
W
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
$46k Vol.
$32k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$46k Vol.$32k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes