International Politics Predictions & Odds· 301 markets

I
Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

$5.6m Vol.
$891k Liq.
🔥$61k today
71
Ends in 9 months

59%

Mojtaba Khamenei

M
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

$746k Vol.
$72k Liq.
63
Ends in 29 days

10%

June 30

W
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

$850k Vol.
$91k Liq.
30
Ends in 9 months

15%

Yes

T
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?

$1.1m Vol.
$18k Liq.
1
Ended

0%

Yes

G
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?

Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?

$43k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months

57%

Yes

F
Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

$416k Vol.
$22k Liq.
1
Ended

30%

June 30

R
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality on...?

Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality on...?

$1.5m Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ended

11%

Yes

N
North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?

North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?

$28k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ended

4%

Yes

I
Iran Nuke before 2027?

Iran Nuke before 2027?

$448k Vol.
$107k Liq.
19
Ends in 9 months

12%

Yes

J
José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?

José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?

$145k Vol.
$9k Liq.
33
Ended

0%

Yes

L
Les Wexner arrested by March 31?

Les Wexner arrested by March 31?

$21k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ended

0%

Yes

E
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

$83k Vol.
$27k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

14%

December 31

W
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

$328k Vol.
$21k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months

46%

Yes

U
Ukraine hits Moscow by...?

Ukraine hits Moscow by...?

$139k Vol.
$16k Liq.
1
Ended

12%

April 30

N
Netanyahu arrested by March 31?

Netanyahu arrested by March 31?

$137k Vol.
$14k Liq.
5
Ended

0%

Yes

T
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?

Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?

$51k Vol.
$57k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

63%

Yes

A
Anthropic CEO arrested?

Anthropic CEO arrested?

$140k Vol.
$40k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months

3%

Yes

J
Jerome Powell arrested by March 31?

Jerome Powell arrested by March 31?

$79k Vol.
$36k Liq.
2
Ended

0%

Yes

W
Will the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?

Will the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?

$0 Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

7%

Yes

W
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

$4k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

18%

Yes